Football · Czechia First League · 17/10, 15:00
Prediction: Mlada Boleslav vs FK Teplice
Team pages: Mlada Boleslav · FK Teplice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Mlada Boleslav1.61
FK Teplice1.17
1X2
Mlada Boleslav
Draw
FK Teplice
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mlada Boleslav
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FK Teplice
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mlada Boleslav
4–1–1
FK Teplice
(6 last)
- Mlada Boleslav0-2FK Teplice
- Mlada Boleslav0-0FK Teplice
- FK Teplice2-3Mlada Boleslav
- Mlada Boleslav1-0FK Teplice
- Mlada Boleslav2-1FK Teplice
- FK Teplice1-2Mlada Boleslav
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mlada Boleslav 1567 · FK Teplice 1579
| Mlada Boleslav | Draw | FK Teplice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mlada Boleslav: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mlada Boleslav | FK Teplice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 8.3 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mlada Boleslav 4–1–1 FK Teplice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Czechia First League | Mlada Boleslav | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Teplice |
| 15/02/26 Czechia First League | Mlada Boleslav | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Teplice |
| 13/09/25 Czechia First League | FK Teplice | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Mlada Boleslav |
| 04/05/25 Czechia First League | Mlada Boleslav | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Teplice |
| 08/02/25 Czechia First League | Mlada Boleslav | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FK Teplice |
| 01/09/24 Czechia First League | FK Teplice | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Mlada Boleslav |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | FK Teplice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | FK Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Mlada Boleslav | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Brno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Viktoria Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Banik Ostrava | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 10 |
| 13 | SK Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 8 |
| 14 | Pardubice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mlada Boleslav | FK Teplice |
|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Plzen | 0-3 L | 5-5 D |
| FC Brno | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Slovan Liberec | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Sparta Prague | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Sigma Olomouc | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mlada Boleslav
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/07 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 19 | 0 | L |
FK Teplice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
3-4 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mlada Boleslav vs FK Teplice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mlada Boleslav win (47%). Probabilities: Mlada Boleslav 47%, draw 27%, FK Teplice 27%.
How many goals are expected in Mlada Boleslav vs FK Teplice?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Mlada Boleslav 1.61 · FK Teplice 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mlada Boleslav vs FK Teplice?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.