Football · Czechia First League · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague

Team pages: Banik Ostrava · Sparta Prague

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Banik Ostrava1.3
Sparta Prague2.11
1X2
22% 23% 55%
Banik Ostrava Draw Sparta Prague
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Banik Ostrava 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLLLDL
Sparta Prague 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLLWWW
Head-to-head
Banik Ostrava 2–1–3 Sparta Prague (6 last)
  • Sparta Prague5-2Banik Ostrava
  • Banik Ostrava0-3Sparta Prague
  • Banik Ostrava3-2Sparta Prague
  • Banik Ostrava1-1Sparta Prague
  • Sparta Prague1-3Banik Ostrava
  • Sparta Prague2-1Banik Ostrava
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banik Ostrava 1476 · Sparta Prague 1591
Banik OstravaDrawSparta Prague
Our model22%23%55%
Market22%24%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Prague (rating 1476 vs 1591).
  • H2H favours Sparta Prague: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Banik OstravaSparta Prague
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.82 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.91 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.33.3 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Banik Ostrava 2–1–3 Sparta Prague

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Czechia First League
Sparta Prague5-2
HT 2-1
Banik Ostrava
27/09/25
Czechia First League
Banik Ostrava0-3
HT 0-3
Sparta Prague
18/05/25
Czechia First League
Banik Ostrava3-2
HT 3-0
Sparta Prague
05/04/25
Czechia First League
Banik Ostrava1-1
HT 1-0
Sparta Prague
02/11/24
Czechia First League
Sparta Prague1-3
HT 1-2
Banik Ostrava
14/05/24
Czechia First League
Sparta Prague2-1
HT 1-0
Banik Ostrava

Standings · Czechia First League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Slavia Prague 11830 26627
2 Slovan Liberec 10622 13620
3 Mlada Boleslav 11623 181320
4 Sparta Prague 10604 201218
5 FK Teplice 11524 181717
6 FK Jablonec 10523 12917
7 Sigma Olomouc 10523 171417
8 FC Brno 10514 121316
9 Bohemians 1905 10433 111115
10 Hradec Kralove 11434 101315
11 Viktoria Plzen 10343 201713
12 Pardubice 11326 121611
13 Banik Ostrava 10316 71810
14 SK Artis Brno 10226 11208
15 Slovacko 10145 9167
16 FC Trinity Zlin 110110 8231

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBanik OstravaSparta Prague
Pardubice 1-2 L 2-0 W
FK Jablonec 0-3 L 2-0 W
Mlada Boleslav 0-4 L 0-2 L
Sigma Olomouc 1-0 W 3-0 W
SK Artis Brno 1-0 W 4-0 W
Hradec Kralove 1-2 L 1-2 L
Slavia Prague 0-4 L 0-3 L
FC Trinity Zlin 1-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 5 L 5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sparta Prague (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banik Ostrava

WLLWWLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Bohemians 1905
Czechia First League
0-1 0-1 50 L
19/09 Slovacko
Czechia First League
1-0 2-2 54 D
13/09 Pardubice
Czechia First League
0-1 1-2 66 L
09/09 FK Jablonec
Czechia First League
0-1 0-3 54 L
06/09 Mlada Boleslav
Czechia First League
0-2 0-4 86 L
29/08 Sigma Olomouc
Czechia First League
1-0 1-0 32 W
16/08 SK Artis Brno
Czechia First League
1-0 1-0 –– W
09/08 Hradec Kralove
Czechia First League
0-1 1-2 –– L
01/08 Slavia Prague
Czechia First League
0-3 0-4 –– L
25/07 FC Trinity Zlin
Czechia First League
0-0 1-0 53 W

Sparta Prague

LWLWWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Pardubice
Czechia First League
1-0 2-0 52 W
20/09 Sigma Olomouc
Czechia First League
1-0 3-0 72 W
12/09 FK Jablonec
Czechia First League
1-0 2-0 94 W
06/09 Hradec Kralove
Czechia First League
1-2 1-2 77 L
30/08 Slavia Prague
Czechia First League
0-1 0-3 134 L
22/08 SK Artis Brno
Czechia First League
2-0 4-0 –– W
15/08 FK Teplice
Czechia First League
3-1 4-1 –– W
08/08 Mlada Boleslav
Czechia First League
0-2 0-2 –– L
31/07 FC Trinity Zlin
Czechia First League
1-0 3-1 –– W
25/07 FC Brno
Czechia First League
0-1 1-3 80 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sparta Prague win (55%). Probabilities: Banik Ostrava 22%, draw 23%, Sparta Prague 55%.

How many goals are expected in Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Banik Ostrava 1.3 · Sparta Prague 2.11), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.