Prediction: Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague
Team pages: Banik Ostrava · Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague5-2Banik Ostrava
- Banik Ostrava0-3Sparta Prague
- Banik Ostrava3-2Sparta Prague
- Banik Ostrava1-1Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague1-3Banik Ostrava
- Sparta Prague2-1Banik Ostrava
| Banik Ostrava | Draw | Sparta Prague | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Prague (rating 1476 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Sparta Prague: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banik Ostrava | Sparta Prague | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 3.3 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banik Ostrava 2–1–3 Sparta Prague
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Banik Ostrava |
| 27/09/25 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Sparta Prague |
| 18/05/25 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Sparta Prague |
| 05/04/25 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sparta Prague |
| 02/11/24 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Banik Ostrava |
| 14/05/24 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Banik Ostrava |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | FK Teplice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Brno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Viktoria Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 10 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banik Ostrava | Sparta Prague |
|---|---|---|
| Pardubice | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Jablonec | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Mlada Boleslav | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Sigma Olomouc | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| SK Artis Brno | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Hradec Kralove | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Slavia Prague | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Trinity Zlin | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Prague (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banik Ostrava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Sparta Prague
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sparta Prague win (55%). Probabilities: Banik Ostrava 22%, draw 23%, Sparta Prague 55%.
How many goals are expected in Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Banik Ostrava 1.3 · Sparta Prague 2.11), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prague?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

