Football · Czechia First League · 18/10, 13:00

Prediction: Slovacko vs FC Brno

Team pages: Slovacko · FC Brno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Slovacko1.43

FC Brno1.23

1X2

40% 28% 31%

Slovacko Draw FC Brno

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovacko 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLLDDLDW

FC Brno 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Slovacko 3–1–2 FC Brno (6 last)

Slovacko0-1FC Brno
Slovacko1-0FC Brno
FC Brno2-2Slovacko
Slovacko4-2FC Brno
FC Brno2-1Slovacko
Slovacko1-0FC Brno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovacko 1502 · FC Brno 1537

	Slovacko	Draw	FC Brno
Our model	40%	28%	31%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slovacko: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovacko	FC Brno
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.5	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.8	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.25

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.59 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.28
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:50 +8’	2.25	3.25	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:27 +417’	2.44	3.25	2.91
06:46 +29’	2.56▲	3.25	2.75▼
13:01 +182’	2.59▲	3.28▲	2.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovacko 3–1–2 FC Brno

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/06/24 Europe Friendlies	Slovacko	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Brno
30/04/23 Czechia First League	Slovacko	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Brno
30/07/22 Czechia First League	FC Brno	2-2 HT 2-1	Slovacko
21/04/21 Czechia First League	Slovacko	4-2 HT 2-1	FC Brno
16/12/20 Czechia First League	FC Brno	2-1 HT 0-0	Slovacko
14/04/18 Czechia First League	Slovacko	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Brno

Standings · Czechia First League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	11	8	3	0	26	6	27
2	Slovan Liberec	10	6	2	2	13	6	20
3	Mlada Boleslav	11	6	2	3	18	13	20
4	Sparta Prague	10	6	0	4	20	12	18
5	FK Teplice	11	5	2	4	18	17	17
6	FK Jablonec	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
7	Sigma Olomouc	10	5	2	3	17	14	17
8	FC Brno	10	5	1	4	12	13	16
9	Bohemians 1905	10	4	3	3	11	11	15
10	Hradec Kralove	11	4	3	4	10	13	15
11	Viktoria Plzen	10	3	4	3	20	17	13
12	Pardubice	11	3	2	6	12	16	11
13	Banik Ostrava	10	3	1	6	7	18	10
14	SK Artis Brno	10	2	2	6	11	20	8
15	Slovacko	10	1	4	5	9	16	7
16	FC Trinity Zlin	11	0	1	10	8	23	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovacko	FC Brno
Slovan Liberec	2-0 W	0-1 L
Viktoria Plzen	1-1 D	1-1 D
Mlada Boleslav	1-2 L	0-2 L
FK Jablonec	0-1 L	0-1 L
SK Artis Brno	1-1 D	2-1 W
Slavia Prague	1-5 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Slovacko (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovacko

LDLLLDDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
19/09	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
05/09	Pardubice Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
30/08	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-0	1-1	4	12	D
22/08	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/07	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	1-4	1-5	0	5	L

FC Brno

WDLWWWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
19/09	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
12/09	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
05/09	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-4	1	5	L
02/09	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
29/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
23/08	FK Teplice Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/08	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovacko vs FC Brno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovacko win (40%). Probabilities: Slovacko 40%, draw 28%, FC Brno 31%.

How many goals are expected in Slovacko vs FC Brno?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Slovacko 1.43 · FC Brno 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovacko vs FC Brno?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.