Football · Czechia First League · 01/11, 18:00
Prediction: Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prague
Team pages: Bohemians 1905 · Sparta Prague
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Bohemians 19051.03
Sparta Prague1.71
1X2
Bohemians 1905
Draw
Sparta Prague
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bohemians 1905
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Sparta Prague
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bohemians 1905
1–5
Sparta Prague
(6 last)
- Bohemians 19052-0Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague2-1Bohemians 1905
- Sparta Prague1-0Bohemians 1905
- Bohemians 19051-2Sparta Prague
- Bohemians 19051-3Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague2-0Bohemians 1905
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bohemians 1905 1545 · Sparta Prague 1575
| Bohemians 1905 | Draw | Sparta Prague | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 26% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 25% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sparta Prague: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bohemians 1905 | Sparta Prague | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.9 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bohemians 1905 1–0–5 Sparta Prague
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Czechia First League | Bohemians 1905 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Prague |
| 28/10/25 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Bohemians 1905 |
| 07/12/24 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bohemians 1905 |
| 10/08/24 Czechia First League | Bohemians 1905 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sparta Prague |
| 13/04/24 Czechia First League | Bohemians 1905 | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sparta Prague |
| 04/11/23 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Bohemians 1905 |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | FC Brno | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | FK Teplice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 9 | Viktoria Plzen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 14 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bohemians 1905 | Sparta Prague |
|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Banik Ostrava | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Pardubice | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Slovacko | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Sigma Olomouc | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| FK Jablonec | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Slavia Prague | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Hradec Kralove | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bohemians 1905
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/10 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 10/10 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Sparta Prague
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prague?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sparta Prague win (53%). Probabilities: Bohemians 1905 22%, draw 25%, Sparta Prague 53%.
How many goals are expected in Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prague?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Bohemians 1905 1.03 · Sparta Prague 1.71), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prague?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.