Football · Czechia First League · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove

Team pages: Mlada Boleslav · Hradec Kralove

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Mlada Boleslav1.35

Hradec Kralove1.15

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Mlada Boleslav Draw Hradec Kralove

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mlada Boleslav 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLLWD

Hradec Kralove 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLLDL

Head-to-head

Mlada Boleslav 3–2–1 Hradec Kralove (6 last)

Hradec Kralove1-1Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav3-2Hradec Kralove
Mlada Boleslav3-0Hradec Kralove
Hradec Kralove2-1Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav3-1Hradec Kralove
Hradec Kralove0-0Mlada Boleslav

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mlada Boleslav 1563 · Hradec Kralove 1481

	Mlada Boleslav	Draw	Hradec Kralove
Our model	40%	29%	31%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mlada Boleslav (rating 1563 vs 1481).
H2H favours Mlada Boleslav: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mlada Boleslav	Hradec Kralove
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.45
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.09 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:32 +47’	2.25	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:42 +156’	2.28	3.36	3.07
13:22 +6’	2.28	3.37▲	3.05▼
14:31 +9’	2.27▼	3.41▲	3.05
14:17 +11’	2.25▼	3.45▲	3.05
16:41 +45’	2.21▼	3.45	3.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mlada Boleslav 3–2–1 Hradec Kralove

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Czechia First League	Hradec Kralove	1-1 HT 0-1	Mlada Boleslav
16/08/25 Czechia First League	Mlada Boleslav	3-2 HT 2-1	Hradec Kralove
01/12/24 Czechia First League	Mlada Boleslav	3-0 HT 1-0	Hradec Kralove
04/08/24 Czechia First League	Hradec Kralove	2-1 HT 1-1	Mlada Boleslav
31/05/24 Czechia First League	Mlada Boleslav	3-1 HT 2-0	Hradec Kralove
24/02/24 Czechia First League	Hradec Kralove	0-0 HT 0-0	Mlada Boleslav

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	12	8	4	0	27	7	28
2	Sparta Prague	12	7	1	4	25	13	22
3	Mlada Boleslav	12	6	3	3	19	14	21
4	Sigma Olomouc	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
5	Slovan Liberec	11	6	2	3	13	7	20
6	FK Jablonec	12	6	2	4	16	13	20
7	FC Brno	12	6	2	4	16	16	20
8	FK Teplice	12	5	3	4	18	17	18
9	Viktoria Plzen	12	4	4	4	24	21	16
10	Bohemians 1905	11	4	4	3	13	13	16
11	Hradec Kralove	12	4	3	5	11	15	15
12	Pardubice	12	4	2	6	14	17	14
13	Banik Ostrava	11	3	2	6	7	18	11
14	SK Artis Brno	11	2	3	6	11	20	9
15	Slovacko	12	1	4	7	11	23	7
16	FC Trinity Zlin	12	0	2	10	9	24	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mlada Boleslav	Hradec Kralove
Slavia Prague	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Teplice	1-0 W	0-2 L
Viktoria Plzen	0-3 L	0-0 D
FC Brno	2-0 W	0-1 L
Slovan Liberec	0-3 L	0-2 L
Banik Ostrava	4-0 W	2-1 W
Sparta Prague	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mlada Boleslav (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mlada Boleslav

WDWWLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
17/10	FK Teplice Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
14/10	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
10/10	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-2	0-3	12	6	L
19/09	FC Brno Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
12/09	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
06/09	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	2-0	4-0	1	6	W
22/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Pardubice Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Hradec Kralove

WLLWDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	2	1	L
17/10	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
10/10	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-1	2-4	4	5	L
20/09	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	7	7	L
13/09	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
09/09	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
06/09	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	2-1	2-1	9	7	W
02/09	FC Brno Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
30/08	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
09/08	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mlada Boleslav win (41%). Probabilities: Mlada Boleslav 41%, draw 28%, Hradec Kralove 31%.

How many goals are expected in Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Mlada Boleslav 1.35 · Hradec Kralove 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.