Football · Czechia First League · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen

Team pages: Banik Ostrava · Viktoria Plzen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Banik Ostrava1.33

Viktoria Plzen1.8

1X2

27% 26% 47%

Banik Ostrava Draw Viktoria Plzen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Banik Ostrava 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLDLD

Viktoria Plzen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWDLLWWL

Head-to-head

Banik Ostrava 2–1–3 Viktoria Plzen (6 last)

Banik Ostrava0-1Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen2-0Banik Ostrava
Viktoria Plzen1-2Banik Ostrava
Viktoria Plzen0-1Banik Ostrava
Banik Ostrava1-3Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen1-1Banik Ostrava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banik Ostrava 1463 · Viktoria Plzen 1524

	Banik Ostrava	Draw	Viktoria Plzen
Our model	27%	25%	47%
Market	27%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktoria Plzen (rating 1463 vs 1524).
H2H favours Viktoria Plzen: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banik Ostrava	Viktoria Plzen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.8	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.50

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.43
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.61
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.02 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:17 +4’	3.40	3.50	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:40 +221’	3.51	3.63	1.98
00:56 +22’	3.43▼	3.61▼	2.02▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Banik Ostrava 2–1–3 Viktoria Plzen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	0-1 HT 0-1	Viktoria Plzen
26/10/25 Czechia First League	Viktoria Plzen	2-0 HT 1-0	Banik Ostrava
11/05/25 Czechia First League	Viktoria Plzen	1-2 HT 0-0	Banik Ostrava
16/03/25 Czechia First League	Viktoria Plzen	0-1 HT 0-1	Banik Ostrava
19/10/24 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	1-3 HT 0-2	Viktoria Plzen
18/05/24 Czechia First League	Viktoria Plzen	1-1 HT 0-0	Banik Ostrava

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	12	8	4	0	27	7	28
2	Sparta Prague	12	7	1	4	25	13	22
3	Mlada Boleslav	12	6	3	3	19	14	21
4	Sigma Olomouc	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
5	Slovan Liberec	11	6	2	3	13	7	20
6	FK Jablonec	12	6	2	4	16	13	20
7	FC Brno	12	6	2	4	16	16	20
8	FK Teplice	12	5	3	4	18	17	18
9	Viktoria Plzen	12	4	4	4	24	21	16
10	Bohemians 1905	11	4	4	3	13	13	16
11	Hradec Kralove	12	4	3	5	11	15	15
12	Pardubice	12	4	2	6	14	17	14
13	Banik Ostrava	11	3	2	6	7	18	11
14	SK Artis Brno	11	2	3	6	11	20	9
15	Slovacko	12	1	4	7	11	23	7
16	FC Trinity Zlin	12	0	2	10	9	24	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banik Ostrava	Viktoria Plzen
Slovacko	2-2 D	1-1 D
Pardubice	1-2 L	1-2 L
FK Jablonec	0-3 L	3-2 W
Mlada Boleslav	0-4 L	3-0 W
Sigma Olomouc	1-0 W	2-3 L
SK Artis Brno	1-0 W	3-0 W
Hradec Kralove	1-2 L	0-0 D
Slavia Prague	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Viktoria Plzen (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banik Ostrava

LLWWLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
10/10	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
19/09	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
13/09	Pardubice Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
09/09	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
06/09	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-2	0-4	8	6	L
29/08	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-3	0-4	–	–	L

Viktoria Plzen

DWDWDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Pardubice Czechia First League	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
18/10	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	2-0	3-2	3	5	W
10/10	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
20/09	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
13/09	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	1-2	2-3	12	4	L
09/09	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	0-0	1-1	5	12	D
15/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	FK Teplice Czechia First League	4-3	5-5	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viktoria Plzen win (47%). Probabilities: Banik Ostrava 27%, draw 26%, Viktoria Plzen 47%.

How many goals are expected in Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Banik Ostrava 1.33 · Viktoria Plzen 1.8), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.