Football · Peru Liga 2 · 01/08, 17:45

Prediction: Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo

Team pages: Academia Deportiva Cantolao · Cesar Vallejo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Academia Deportiva Cantolao0.96

Cesar Vallejo1.29

1X2

27% 30% 43%

Academia Deportiva Cantolao Draw Cesar Vallejo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Deportiva Cantolao 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLD

Cesar Vallejo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1–1–4 Cesar Vallejo (6 last)

Cesar Vallejo2-1Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Cesar Vallejo2-1Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Academia Deportiva Cantolao1-2Cesar Vallejo
Academia Deportiva Cantolao0-1Cesar Vallejo
Cesar Vallejo0-1Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Cesar Vallejo0-0Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1432 · Cesar Vallejo 1459

	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	Draw	Cesar Vallejo
Our model	27%	31%	43%
Market	28%	29%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cesar Vallejo: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	Cesar Vallejo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.6	5.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.10

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:47 +3’	3.25	3.10	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1–1–4 Cesar Vallejo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Peru Liga 2	Cesar Vallejo	2-1 HT 2-0	Academia Deportiva Cantolao
16/07/23 Peru Liga 1	Cesar Vallejo	2-1 HT 0-1	Academia Deportiva Cantolao
11/02/23 Peru Liga 1	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	1-2 HT 1-0	Cesar Vallejo
08/10/22 Peru Liga 1	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	0-1 HT 0-0	Cesar Vallejo
21/05/22 Peru Liga 1	Cesar Vallejo	0-1 HT 0-1	Academia Deportiva Cantolao
18/09/21 Peru Liga 1	Cesar Vallejo	0-0 HT 0-0	Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Llacuabamba	8	5	1	2	11	4	16
2	Pirata FC	9	5	1	3	14	12	16
3	Union Comercio	8	4	3	1	5	2	15
4	CD Universidad San Martin	10	4	2	4	16	10	14
5	Carlos Manucci	9	4	2	3	8	9	14
6	Club Ada Jaen	9	2	5	2	8	7	11
7	Cesar Vallejo	8	2	2	4	6	8	8
8	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	8	0	2	6	4	17	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	Cesar Vallejo
Club Ada Jaen	0-0 D	1-1 D
CD Universidad San Martin	4-3 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Llacuabamba	0-3 L	0-2 L
Carlos Manucci	1-4 L	2-3 L
Pirata FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Union Comercio	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cesar Vallejo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Academia Deportiva Cantolao

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
28/06	Sport Boys Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	0-3	2	9	L
20/06	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Copa de la Liga	2-1	4-3	3	10	W
31/05	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	0-2	0-4	1	9	L
24/05	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	0-3	0-3	7	3	L
17/05	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-4	4	5	L
11/05	Pirata FC Peru Liga 2	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
26/04	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
19/04	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
03/04	FC San Marcos Peru Liga 2	2-1	3-0	8	5	W

Cesar Vallejo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/06	Carlos Manucci Peru Copa de la Liga	1-2	2-3	9	7	L
19/06	Alianza Atletico Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
14/06	Alianza Lima Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
25/05	Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
17/05	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
09/05	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-2	3	8	L
02/05	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
27/04	Pirata FC Peru Liga 2	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
19/04	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	2-0	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cesar Vallejo win (43%). Probabilities: Academia Deportiva Cantolao 27%, draw 30%, Cesar Vallejo 43%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Academia Deportiva Cantolao 0.96 · Cesar Vallejo 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.