Football · Peru Liga 2 · 09/08, 22:30

Prediction: Comerciantes FC vs Bentin Tacna Heroica

Team pages: Comerciantes FC · Bentin Tacna Heroica

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Comerciantes FC1.3
Bentin Tacna Heroica0.7
1X2
51% 29% 20%
Comerciantes FC Draw Bentin Tacna Heroica
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Comerciantes FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDWDLDWL
Bentin Tacna Heroica 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWWLDWWW
Head-to-head
Comerciantes FC 1–1–1 Bentin Tacna Heroica (3 last)
  • Bentin Tacna Heroica1-1Comerciantes FC
  • Bentin Tacna Heroica2-1Comerciantes FC
  • Comerciantes FC2-0Bentin Tacna Heroica
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Comerciantes FC 1514 · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1533
Comerciantes FCDrawBentin Tacna Heroica
Our model50%31%19%
Market52%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Comerciantes FCBentin Tacna Heroica
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.41.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.10.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.22.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.14.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes FC 111 Bentin Tacna Heroica

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Peru Liga 2
Bentin Tacna Heroica1-1
HT 1-0
Comerciantes FC
06/07/25
Peru Liga 2
Bentin Tacna Heroica2-1
HT 1-0
Comerciantes FC
18/05/25
Peru Liga 2
Comerciantes FC2-0
HT 1-0
Bentin Tacna Heroica

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bentin Tacna Heroica 11632 15821
2 Comerciantes FC 11551 13720
3 Santos FC 12525 111317
4 Sport Huancayo II 11443 111016
5 Alianza Universidad 11434 131115
6 Union Minas 11353 15714
7 Ayacucho FC 11344 91013
8 CD Estudiantil CNI 10334 181212
9 Deportivo Binacional 12138 8356

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentComerciantes FCBentin Tacna Heroica
Santos FC 0-1 L 1-2 L
Alianza Universidad 1-0 W 0-0 D
Sport Huancayo II 1-1 D 0-2 L
CD Estudiantil CNI 0-0 D 3-1 W
Sporting Cristal 1-1 D 1-1 D
Ayacucho FC 0-0 D 2-0 W
Deportivo Binacional 3-0 W 3-0 W
Union Minas 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 5 D 1 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bentin Tacna Heroica (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Comerciantes FC

DWDDWDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 25 L
24/07 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 W
18/07 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 23 D
11/07 Sport Boys
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-1 53 L
27/06 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 62 D
20/06 Union Comercio
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-0 54 W
13/06 Sporting Cristal
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-1 64 D
22/05 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 34 D
16/05 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
3-0 3-0 72 W
08/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 22 D

Bentin Tacna Heroica

LDLWWLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 89 W
26/07 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-0 51 W
19/07 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
1-1 2-1 79 W
11/07 Sporting Cristal
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-0 1-1 31 D
21/06 Deportivo Moquegua
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-2 2-3 65 L
12/06 FBC Melgar
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-1 3-2 15 W
30/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-1 44 W
16/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 56 L
09/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-2 93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Comerciantes FC vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Comerciantes FC win (51%). Probabilities: Comerciantes FC 51%, draw 29%, Bentin Tacna Heroica 20%.

How many goals are expected in Comerciantes FC vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

The model expects 2 goals (Comerciantes FC 1.3 · Bentin Tacna Heroica 0.7), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Comerciantes FC vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.