Football · Peru Liga 2 · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Llacuabamba vs CD Universidad San Martin

Team pages: Deportivo Llacuabamba · CD Universidad San Martin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Deportivo Llacuabamba1.76

CD Universidad San Martin0.84

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Deportivo Llacuabamba Draw CD Universidad San Martin

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Llacuabamba 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWLDDL

CD Universidad San Martin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Deportivo Llacuabamba 3–1–2 CD Universidad San Martin (6 last)

CD Universidad San Martin0-1Deportivo Llacuabamba
CD Universidad San Martin2-1Deportivo Llacuabamba
Deportivo Llacuabamba4-1CD Universidad San Martin
Deportivo Llacuabamba1-0CD Universidad San Martin
CD Universidad San Martin1-0Deportivo Llacuabamba
Deportivo Llacuabamba0-0CD Universidad San Martin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Llacuabamba 1524 · CD Universidad San Martin 1495

	Deportivo Llacuabamba	Draw	CD Universidad San Martin
Our model	58%	25%	17%
Market	59%	24%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Llacuabamba: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Llacuabamba	CD Universidad San Martin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3	1.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.3	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.70

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +55’	1.53	3.70	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Llacuabamba 3–1–2 CD Universidad San Martin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Peru Liga 2	CD Universidad San Martin	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Llacuabamba
31/08/25 Peru Liga 2	CD Universidad San Martin	2-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Llacuabamba
27/07/25 Peru Liga 2	Deportivo Llacuabamba	4-1 HT 1-1	CD Universidad San Martin
06/10/23 Peru Liga 2	Deportivo Llacuabamba	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Universidad San Martin
02/10/23 Peru Liga 2	CD Universidad San Martin	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Llacuabamba
11/09/23 Peru Liga 2	Deportivo Llacuabamba	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Universidad San Martin

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Llacuabamba	8	5	1	2	11	4	16
2	Pirata FC	9	5	1	3	14	12	16
3	Union Comercio	8	4	3	1	5	2	15
4	CD Universidad San Martin	10	4	2	4	16	10	14
5	Carlos Manucci	9	4	2	3	8	9	14
6	Club Ada Jaen	9	2	5	2	8	7	11
7	Cesar Vallejo	8	2	2	4	6	8	8
8	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	8	0	2	6	4	17	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Llacuabamba	CD Universidad San Martin
Carlos Manucci	0-1 L	2-0 W
Pirata FC	1-3 L	2-3 L
Academia Deportiva Cantolao	3-0 W	3-4 L
Union Comercio	0-0 D	0-1 L
Cesar Vallejo	2-0 W	1-0 W
Club Ada Jaen	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Llacuabamba (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Llacuabamba

WWWWDWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
20/06	FC Cajamarca Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	1-1	10	7	D
15/06	UTC Cajamarca Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	2-2	3	9	D
01/06	Pirata FC Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
24/05	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
17/05	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	2	12	D
09/05	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	1	8	W
25/04	Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
18/04	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
29/03	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	2-0	3-0	2	3	W

CD Universidad San Martin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
20/07	Pirata FC Peru Liga 2	2-1	2-3	8	8	L
20/06	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Copa de la Liga	1-2	3-4	2	10	L
13/06	Sport Boys Peru Copa de la Liga	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
31/05	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	2-0	4-0	6	9	W
23/05	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
17/05	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
03/05	Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
18/04	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-1	6	9	L
05/04	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	0-2	1-2	10	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs CD Universidad San Martin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Llacuabamba win (58%). Probabilities: Deportivo Llacuabamba 58%, draw 25%, CD Universidad San Martin 17%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs CD Universidad San Martin?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Deportivo Llacuabamba 1.76 · CD Universidad San Martin 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs CD Universidad San Martin?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.