Football · Russia Division 1 · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs PFC Sochi
Team pages: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · PFC Sochi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1.29
PFC Sochi1.3
1X2
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Draw
PFC Sochi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
PFC Sochi
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
0–1–3
PFC Sochi
(4 last)
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1-1PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi2-0Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- PFC Sochi3-2Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- PFC Sochi3-0Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFC Sochi (rating 1454 vs 1511).
- H2H favours PFC Sochi: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | PFC Sochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.2 | – / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 0–1–3 PFC Sochi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/25 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 08/02/25 Club Friendly List | PFC Sochi | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 03/11/24 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 22/01/23 Club Friendly List | PFC Sochi | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Veles | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Ural | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | PFC Sochi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Rotor Volgograd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Torpedo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | FK Yenisey | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Ufa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | FK Leningradets | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | PFC Sochi |
|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Arsenal Tula | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| FC Orenburg | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: PFC Sochi (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Alga Group Kazan Russia Regional League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | Kamaz Nab Chelny 2 Russia Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Krylia Sovetov Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | FC Orenburg Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
PFC Sochi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs PFC Sochi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PFC Sochi win (36%). Probabilities: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 35%, draw 29%, PFC Sochi 36%.
How many goals are expected in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs PFC Sochi?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 1.29 · PFC Sochi 1.3), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs PFC Sochi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.