Football · Russia Division 1 · 28/08, 18:30
Prediction: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FC Ufa
Team pages: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · FC Ufa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1.05
FC Ufa1.21
1X2
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Draw
FC Ufa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
FC Ufa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
3–1–2
FC Ufa
(6 last)
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk2-0FC Ufa
- FC Ufa1-1Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- FC Ufa3-2Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- FC Ufa1-0Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk2-1FC Ufa
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk2-0FC Ufa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ufa (rating 1452 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | FC Ufa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 3–1–2 FC Ufa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Ufa |
| 30/10/25 Russia Cup | FC Ufa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 25/10/25 Russia Division 1 | FC Ufa | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 04/05/25 Russia Division 1 | FC Ufa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 21/07/24 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Ufa |
| 27/05/23 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Ufa |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Veles | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moscow | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Yenisey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 14 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | FK Leningradets | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | FC Ufa |
|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
FC Ufa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FC Ufa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Ufa win (38%). Probabilities: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 31%, draw 31%, FC Ufa 38%.
How many goals are expected in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FC Ufa?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 1.05 · FC Ufa 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FC Ufa?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.