Football · Russia Division 1 · 24/08, 18:30
Prediction: Veles vs Arsenal Tula
Team pages: Veles · Arsenal Tula
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Veles1.61
Arsenal Tula0.9
1X2
Veles
Draw
Arsenal Tula
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Veles
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Arsenal Tula
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Veles
1–2–0
Arsenal Tula
(3 last)
- Arsenal Tula1-1Veles
- Veles1-0Arsenal Tula
- Veles1-1Arsenal Tula
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veles (rating 1528 vs 1476).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Veles | Arsenal Tula | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.9 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Veles 1–2–0 Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/23 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Veles |
| 16/10/22 Russia Division 1 | Veles | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 27/10/21 Russia Cup | Veles | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Arsenal Tula |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Veles | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moscow | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Arsenal Tula | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Yenisey | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | FC Ufa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | FK Leningradets | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Veles | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| FK Leningradets | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Rotor Volgograd | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Veles (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Veles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Novosibirsk Russia Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/06 | FC Novosibirsk Russia Division 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | FK Spartak Kostroma Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Veles vs Arsenal Tula?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Veles win (53%). Probabilities: Veles 53%, draw 27%, Arsenal Tula 20%.
How many goals are expected in Veles vs Arsenal Tula?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Veles 1.61 · Arsenal Tula 0.9), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Veles vs Arsenal Tula?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.