Football · Russia Division 1 · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Arsenal Tula vs Ural
Team pages: Arsenal Tula · Ural
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Arsenal Tula0.97
Ural1.15
1X2
Arsenal Tula
Draw
Ural
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Arsenal Tula
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Ural
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arsenal Tula
1–1–4
Ural
(6 last)
- Ural2-0Arsenal Tula
- Arsenal Tula1-2Ural
- Ural0-0Arsenal Tula
- Arsenal Tula1-0Ural
- Arsenal Tula1-2Ural
- Ural2-0Arsenal Tula
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ural (rating 1449 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Ural: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal Tula | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | – / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal Tula 1–1–4 Ural
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Russia Division 1 | Ural | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 24/10/25 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ural |
| 24/03/25 Russia Division 1 | Ural | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 16/09/24 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ural |
| 21/05/22 Russia Premier League | Arsenal Tula | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Ural |
| 27/09/21 Russia Premier League | Ural | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Arsenal Tula |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Veles | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moscow | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Yenisey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 14 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | FK Leningradets | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal Tula | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Leningradets | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Torpedo Moscow | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Yenisey | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal Tula (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Ural
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ural win (39%). Probabilities: Arsenal Tula 29%, draw 32%, Ural 39%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Arsenal Tula 0.97 · Ural 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.