Football · Russia Division 1 · 19/08, 18:30

Prediction: Veles vs FC Nizhny Novgorod

Team pages: Veles · FC Nizhny Novgorod

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Veles1.55

FC Nizhny Novgorod1.47

1X2

38% 26% 35%

Veles Draw FC Nizhny Novgorod

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Veles 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLWWL

FC Nizhny Novgorod 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Veles 0–2 FC Nizhny Novgorod (2 last)

FC Nizhny Novgorod1-0Veles
Veles1-3FC Nizhny Novgorod

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nizhny Novgorod (rating 1499 vs 1543).
H2H favours FC Nizhny Novgorod: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veles	FC Nizhny Novgorod
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 4.1	– / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.77 → 4.77	Pinn 4.77
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:54	4.77	3.51	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veles 0–0–2 FC Nizhny Novgorod

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/21 Russia Division 1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	1-0 HT 0-0	Veles
13/10/20 Russia Division 1	Veles	1-3 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	6	6	0	0	19	6	18
2	Veles	6	4	0	2	7	8	12
3	Ural	6	3	2	1	10	2	11
4	FK Spartak Kostroma	5	3	2	0	10	4	11
5	PFC Sochi	6	3	1	2	11	7	10
6	Rotor Volgograd	6	3	1	2	11	8	10
7	Torpedo Moscow	6	3	1	2	10	5	10
8	FK Yenisey	6	2	3	1	10	9	9
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	6	2	3	1	9	8	9
10	FC Ufa	5	2	2	1	7	6	8
11	Arsenal Tula	6	2	2	2	5	9	8
12	FK Chelyabinsk	6	2	0	4	7	12	6
13	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	6	2	0	4	6	9	6
14	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6	2	0	4	3	10	6
15	FK Leningradets	6	1	2	3	3	8	5
16	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	6	0	3	3	4	8	3
17	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	6	1	0	5	4	11	3
18	Kamaz Nab Chelny	6	0	2	4	6	12	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veles	FC Nizhny Novgorod
Rotor Volgograd	2-1 W	4-2 W
FK Chelyabinsk	1-0 W	2-1 W
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nizhny Novgorod (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Veles

LDWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/08	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
03/08	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-1	2-1	2	2	W
26/07	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-2	1-4	4	4	L
19/07	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
11/07	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
21/06	FC Novosibirsk Russia Division 2	0-2	1-2	1	6	L
17/06	FC Novosibirsk Russia Division 2	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
13/06	FK Leningradets Russia Division 2	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
07/06	FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk Russia Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	3	L

FC Nizhny Novgorod

LLLDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	3-0	5-1	0	2	W
02/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
25/07	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
19/07	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	2-0	2-1	6	7	W
12/07	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	3-2	4-2	7	6	W
17/05	Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
11/05	CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
03/05	FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
26/04	Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veles vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veles win (38%). Probabilities: Veles 38%, draw 26%, FC Nizhny Novgorod 35%.

How many goals are expected in Veles vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Veles 1.55 · FC Nizhny Novgorod 1.47), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Veles vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.