Football · Russia Division 1 · 22/08, 15:00
Prediction: FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Team pages: FK Volga Ulyanovsk · Shinnik Yaroslavl
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
FK Volga Ulyanovsk0.96
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.32
1X2
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
0–2–2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(4 last)
- FK Volga Ulyanovsk0-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl2-0FK Volga Ulyanovsk
- Shinnik Yaroslavl2-2FK Volga Ulyanovsk
- FK Volga Ulyanovsk1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1446 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Shinnik Yaroslavl: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Volga Ulyanovsk 0–2–2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 07/09/25 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
| 08/04/23 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-2 HT 2-1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
| 18/09/22 Russia Division 1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Veles | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Ural | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | PFC Sochi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Rotor Volgograd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Torpedo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | FK Yenisey | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Ufa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | FK Leningradets | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Sochi | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Torpedo Moscow | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Arsenal Tula | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Shinnik Yaroslavl (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | FK Spartak Kostroma Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/06 | Torpedo Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Arsenal Tula Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shinnik Yaroslavl win (43%). Probabilities: FK Volga Ulyanovsk 26%, draw 31%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 43%.
How many goals are expected in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model expects 2.28 goals (FK Volga Ulyanovsk 0.96 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.