Football · Russia Division 1 · 31/08, 18:30
Prediction: FK Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd
Team pages: FK Spartak Kostroma · Rotor Volgograd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
FK Spartak Kostroma1.46
Rotor Volgograd0.81
1X2
FK Spartak Kostroma
Draw
Rotor Volgograd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Spartak Kostroma
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Rotor Volgograd
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Spartak Kostroma
1–1–2
Rotor Volgograd
(4 last)
- FK Spartak Kostroma1-1Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd1-2FK Spartak Kostroma
- Rotor Volgograd2-0FK Spartak Kostroma
- FK Spartak Kostroma0-1Rotor Volgograd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Spartak Kostroma (rating 1515 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Rotor Volgograd: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Spartak Kostroma | Rotor Volgograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.7 | – / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Spartak Kostroma 1–1–2 Rotor Volgograd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 30/08/25 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
| 29/10/23 Russia Division 2 | Rotor Volgograd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
| 03/09/23 Russia Division 2 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 0-1 | Rotor Volgograd |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Veles | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moscow | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Yenisey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 14 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | FK Leningradets | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Spartak Kostroma | Rotor Volgograd |
|---|---|---|
| FC Ufa | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Spartak Kostroma (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Spartak Kostroma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Sokol Saratov Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Rotor Volgograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/08 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Spartak Kostroma win (51%). Probabilities: FK Spartak Kostroma 51%, draw 29%, Rotor Volgograd 20%.
How many goals are expected in FK Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?
The model expects 2.27 goals (FK Spartak Kostroma 1.46 · Rotor Volgograd 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.