Football · Russia Division 1 · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Yenisey

Team pages: FC Nizhny Novgorod · FK Yenisey

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

FC Nizhny Novgorod2.47

FK Yenisey1.27

1X2

63% 20% 17%

FC Nizhny Novgorod Draw FK Yenisey

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Nizhny Novgorod 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDWWW

FK Yenisey 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLDLLWD

Head-to-head

FC Nizhny Novgorod 1–1–4 FK Yenisey (6 last)

FK Yenisey1-1FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod1-2FK Yenisey
FK Yenisey0-1FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod1-3FK Yenisey
FK Yenisey1-0FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod0-2FK Yenisey

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nizhny Novgorod (rating 1603 vs 1478).
H2H favours FK Yenisey: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Nizhny Novgorod	FK Yenisey
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 5.3	– / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:47

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.48
X	4.37 → 4.37	Pinn 4.37
2	6.06 → 6.06	Pinn 6.06

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:19 +388’	1.48	4.37	6.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nizhny Novgorod 1–1–4 FK Yenisey

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/25 Club Friendly List	FK Yenisey	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod
28/04/21 Russia Division 1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	1-2 HT 0-2	FK Yenisey
01/11/20 Russia Division 1	FK Yenisey	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Nizhny Novgorod
05/10/19 Russia Division 1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	1-3 HT 1-2	FK Yenisey
11/04/18 Russia Division 1	FK Yenisey	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod
16/09/17 Russia Division 1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	0-2 HT 0-2	FK Yenisey

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	12	10	1	1	36	14	31
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20	6	25
3	FK Spartak Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16	10	24
4	PFC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
5	Veles	12	7	2	3	16	14	23
6	Torpedo Moscow	12	6	3	3	21	9	21
7	FC Ufa	12	4	6	2	16	13	18
8	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20	14	17
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15	13	16
10	FK Yenisey	12	3	5	4	15	20	14
11	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12	22	13
12	FK Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10	20	13
13	FK Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13	19	12
14	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	12	4	0	8	7	15	12
15	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	12	3	2	7	14	18	11
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	12	2	3	7	11	19	9
17	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	12	1	4	7	8	19	7
18	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11	23	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Nizhny Novgorod	FK Yenisey
Veles	2-3 L	4-1 W
Tekstilshik Ivanovo	3-1 W	0-0 D
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	5-1 W	0-2 L
Shinnik Yaroslavl	3-0 W	0-0 D
FK Chelyabinsk	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nizhny Novgorod (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Nizhny Novgorod

WWWWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	6-0	7	5	W
13/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
05/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
24/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
19/08	Veles Russia Division 1	1-0	2-3	7	2	L
15/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	3-0	5-1	0	2	W
02/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
25/07	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	2-1	2-1	6	4	W

FK Yenisey

WDDDLDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
16/09	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-2	0-4	5	9	L
05/09	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
30/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
23/08	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	1-3	8	6	L
15/08	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
08/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	11	9	D
01/08	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
26/07	Veles Russia Division 1	2-0	4-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Yenisey?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nizhny Novgorod win (63%). Probabilities: FC Nizhny Novgorod 63%, draw 20%, FK Yenisey 17%.

How many goals are expected in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Yenisey?

The model expects 3.75 goals (FC Nizhny Novgorod 2.47 · FK Yenisey 1.27), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Yenisey?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.