Football · Russia Division 1 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: Ural vs FC Nizhny Novgorod

Team pages: Ural · FC Nizhny Novgorod

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Ural1.45

FC Nizhny Novgorod1.44

1X2

37% 27% 36%

Ural Draw FC Nizhny Novgorod

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ural 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDWWWL

FC Nizhny Novgorod 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Ural 0–3–3 FC Nizhny Novgorod (6 last)

FC Nizhny Novgorod2-2Ural
FC Nizhny Novgorod1-0Ural
Ural0-0FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod0-0Ural
Ural0-1FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod1-0Ural

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nizhny Novgorod (rating 1551 vs 1604).
H2H favours FC Nizhny Novgorod: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ural	FC Nizhny Novgorod
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	3.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6.6	– / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.01

Under 2.51.79

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.59 → 2.59	Pinn 2.59
X	3.07 → 3.07	Pinn 3.07
2	2.87 → 2.87	Pinn 2.87

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:35 +277’	2.59	3.07	2.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ural 0–3–3 FC Nizhny Novgorod

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/24 Club Friendly List	FC Nizhny Novgorod	2-2 HT 2-1	Ural
02/12/23 Russia Premier League	FC Nizhny Novgorod	1-0 HT 0-0	Ural
29/07/23 Russia Premier League	Ural	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod
07/05/23 Russia Premier League	FC Nizhny Novgorod	0-0 HT 0-0	Ural
20/08/22 Russia Premier League	Ural	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod
26/02/22 Russia Premier League	FC Nizhny Novgorod	1-0 HT 0-0	Ural

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	13	11	1	1	41	14	34
2	PFC Sochi	13	8	2	3	22	14	26
3	Veles	14	8	2	4	19	17	26
4	Ural	13	7	4	2	21	8	25
5	Torpedo Moscow	13	7	3	3	24	10	24
6	FK Spartak Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18	13	24
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	13	4	7	2	17	13	19
8	Rotor Volgograd	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
9	FC Ufa	13	4	6	3	16	14	18
10	Arsenal Tula	13	4	4	5	15	24	16
11	FK Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17	21	15
12	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	14	4	3	7	18	21	15
13	FK Yenisey	13	3	5	5	15	25	14
14	FK Leningradets	13	3	4	6	11	23	13
15	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	13	4	0	9	9	19	12
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	13	2	4	7	14	22	10
17	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	13	1	4	8	14	26	7
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	13	1	4	8	8	21	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ural	FC Nizhny Novgorod
Veles	1-2 L	2-3 L
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1-0 W	5-1 W
Tekstilshik Ivanovo	2-0 W	3-1 W
SKA Energia Khabarovsk	3-0 W	4-2 W
FK Leningradets	0-0 D	6-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nizhny Novgorod (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ural

DWWDWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Veles Russia Division 1	0-2	1-2	3	7	L
26/09	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
18/09	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
06/09	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
14/08	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
08/08	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	13	4	W
02/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/07	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

FC Nizhny Novgorod

WWWLWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	2-0	5-0	8	4	W
17/09	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	6-0	7	5	W
13/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
05/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
24/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
19/08	Veles Russia Division 1	1-0	2-3	7	2	L
15/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	3-0	5-1	0	2	W
02/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ural vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ural win (37%). Probabilities: Ural 37%, draw 27%, FC Nizhny Novgorod 36%.

How many goals are expected in Ural vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Ural 1.45 · FC Nizhny Novgorod 1.44), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ural vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.