Football · Russia Division 1 · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

Team pages: Veles · Shinnik Yaroslavl

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Veles1.28

Shinnik Yaroslavl0.94

1X2

43% 31% 26%

Veles Draw Shinnik Yaroslavl

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Veles 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDLDLW

Shinnik Yaroslavl 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWWDDLDW

Head-to-head

Veles 2–1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl (4 last)

Veles1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl2-0Veles
Veles4-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl1-2Veles

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Veles: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veles	Shinnik Yaroslavl
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 3.3	– / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.89

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.42▲	Pinn 2.42
X	2.97 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.00
2	3.26 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:13	2.40	2.97	3.26
16:06 +72’	2.42▲	3.00▲	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veles 2–1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/23 Russia Division 1	Veles	1-1 HT 0-0	Shinnik Yaroslavl
09/10/22 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2-0 HT 1-0	Veles
29/11/20 Russia Division 1	Veles	4-2 HT 1-1	Shinnik Yaroslavl
22/08/20 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-2 HT 0-2	Veles

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	13	11	1	1	41	14	34
2	PFC Sochi	14	9	2	3	23	14	29
3	Torpedo Moscow	14	8	3	3	26	11	27
4	FK Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20	13	27
5	Veles	14	8	2	4	19	17	26
6	Ural	13	7	4	2	21	8	25
7	FC Ufa	14	5	6	3	18	14	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	13	4	7	2	17	13	19
9	Rotor Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22	17	18
10	Arsenal Tula	14	4	4	6	15	26	16
11	FK Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17	21	15
12	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	14	4	3	7	18	21	15
13	FK Yenisey	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
14	Kamaz Nab Chelny	14	3	4	7	16	23	13
15	FK Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11	25	13
16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	14	4	0	10	10	21	12
17	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	13	1	4	8	14	26	7
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	13	1	4	8	8	21	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veles	Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Volga Ulyanovsk	1-2 L	3-1 W
Torpedo Moscow	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tekstilshik Ivanovo	1-0 W	2-0 W
Arsenal Tula	2-0 W	2-2 D
FC Nizhny Novgorod	3-2 W	0-3 L
SKA Energia Khabarovsk	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shinnik Yaroslavl (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veles

WLWWWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ural Russia Division 1	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
04/10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
17/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
14/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
29/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-1	3-2	2	2	W
15/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/08	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W

Shinnik Yaroslavl

DLDWWDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
27/09	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/09	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
05/09	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	10	D
30/08	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
08/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
02/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
26/07	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veles win (43%). Probabilities: Veles 43%, draw 31%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 26%.

How many goals are expected in Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Veles 1.28 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.