Football · Russia Division 1 · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: FK Spartak Kostroma vs FK Leningradets

Team pages: FK Spartak Kostroma · FK Leningradets

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

FK Spartak Kostroma1.68

FK Leningradets0.9

1X2

55% 26% 19%

FK Spartak Kostroma Draw FK Leningradets

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Spartak Kostroma 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWWWLL

FK Leningradets 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDDLDLWL

Head-to-head

FK Spartak Kostroma 1–5 FK Leningradets (6 last)

FK Spartak Kostroma0-1FK Leningradets
FK Leningradets2-1FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Leningradets2-0FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Spartak Kostroma2-1FK Leningradets
FK Leningradets3-0FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Spartak Kostroma0-2FK Leningradets

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Spartak Kostroma (rating 1532 vs 1469).
H2H favours FK Leningradets: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Spartak Kostroma	FK Leningradets
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 5.4	– / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.51 → 1.44▼	Pinn 1.44
X	4.15 → 4.45▲	Pinn 4.45
2	5.95 → 6.74▲	Pinn 6.74

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +59’	1.51	4.15	5.95
15:45 +17’	1.50▼	4.24▲	6.08▲
16:34 +106’	1.44▼	4.45▲	6.74▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Spartak Kostroma 1–0–5 FK Leningradets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/25 Russia Division 2	FK Spartak Kostroma	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Leningradets
02/03/25 Russia Division 2	FK Leningradets	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Spartak Kostroma
21/09/24 Russia Division 2	FK Leningradets	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Spartak Kostroma
28/07/24 Russia Division 2	FK Spartak Kostroma	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Leningradets
04/06/23 Russia Division 2	FK Leningradets	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Spartak Kostroma
05/05/23 Russia Division 2	FK Spartak Kostroma	0-2	FK Leningradets

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	13	11	1	1	41	14	34
2	Veles	14	8	2	4	19	17	26
3	Ural	13	7	4	2	21	8	25
4	Torpedo Moscow	13	7	3	3	24	10	24
5	FK Spartak Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18	13	24
6	PFC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	13	4	7	2	17	13	19
8	Rotor Volgograd	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
9	FC Ufa	12	4	6	2	16	13	18
10	Arsenal Tula	13	4	4	5	15	24	16
11	FK Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17	21	15
12	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	14	4	3	7	18	21	15
13	FK Yenisey	13	3	5	5	15	25	14
14	FK Leningradets	13	3	4	6	11	23	13
15	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	13	4	0	9	9	19	12
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	13	2	4	7	14	22	10
17	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	13	1	4	8	14	26	7
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	13	1	4	8	8	21	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Spartak Kostroma	FK Leningradets
Arsenal Tula	2-3 L	0-0 D
Ural	1-2 L	0-0 D
FK Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Chelyabinsk	1-0 W	1-1 D
Torpedo Moscow	0-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Leningradets (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Spartak Kostroma

DWDLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Ural Russia Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
18/09	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
14/09	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
05/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
31/08	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
21/08	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
17/08	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	11	6	D
09/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
01/08	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	1-1	2-2	1	2	D

FK Leningradets

DWLDDLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-2	1-3	1	3	L
26/09	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
17/09	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-1	0-6	2	5	L
13/09	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
29/08	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
15/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/08	Veles Russia Division 1	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
01/08	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
26/07	Ural Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Spartak Kostroma vs FK Leningradets?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Spartak Kostroma win (55%). Probabilities: FK Spartak Kostroma 55%, draw 26%, FK Leningradets 19%.

How many goals are expected in FK Spartak Kostroma vs FK Leningradets?

The model expects 2.58 goals (FK Spartak Kostroma 1.68 · FK Leningradets 0.9), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Spartak Kostroma vs FK Leningradets?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.