Football · Russia Division 1 · 09/10, 16:00
Prediction: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FK Chelyabinsk
Team pages: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · FK Chelyabinsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1.13
FK Chelyabinsk1.1
1X2
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Draw
FK Chelyabinsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
FK Chelyabinsk
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
1–3–2
FK Chelyabinsk
(6 last)
- FK Chelyabinsk2-0Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1-1FK Chelyabinsk
- FK Chelyabinsk0-0Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk2-1FK Chelyabinsk
- FK Chelyabinsk2-0Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk2-2FK Chelyabinsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Chelyabinsk (rating 1441 vs 1491).
- H2H favours FK Chelyabinsk: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | FK Chelyabinsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.2 | – / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 1–3–2 FK Chelyabinsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 30/08/25 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 28/10/18 Russia Division 2 | FK Chelyabinsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 26/08/18 Russia Division 2 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 10/04/18 Russia Division 2 | FK Chelyabinsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 25/08/17 Russia Division 2 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-2 | FK Chelyabinsk |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 13 |
| 12 | FK Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 12 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | FK Chelyabinsk |
|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Kostroma | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Yenisey | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Ufa | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| PFC Sochi | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Chelyabinsk (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
FK Chelyabinsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 18/09 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FK Chelyabinsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk win (35%). Probabilities: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 35%, draw 32%, FK Chelyabinsk 33%.
How many goals are expected in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FK Chelyabinsk?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 1.13 · FK Chelyabinsk 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs FK Chelyabinsk?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.