Football · Russia Division 1 · 25/10, 11:00
Prediction: FK Chelyabinsk vs Ural
Team pages: FK Chelyabinsk · Ural
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
FK Chelyabinsk1.19
Ural1.46
1X2
FK Chelyabinsk
Draw
Ural
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Chelyabinsk
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Ural
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Chelyabinsk
0–3
Ural
(3 last)
- FK Chelyabinsk1-2Ural
- Ural1-0FK Chelyabinsk
- FK Chelyabinsk0-3Ural
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ural (rating 1457 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Ural: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Chelyabinsk | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.2 | – / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chelyabinsk 0–0–3 Ural
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ural |
| 05/11/25 Russia Division 1 | Ural | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 21/09/16 Russia Cup | FK Chelyabinsk | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Ural |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 13 | FK Yenisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 14 |
| 14 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Chelyabinsk | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Ufa | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FK Spartak Kostroma | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ural (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Chelyabinsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 18/09 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Ural
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Chelyabinsk vs Ural?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ural win (42%). Probabilities: FK Chelyabinsk 30%, draw 28%, Ural 42%.
How many goals are expected in FK Chelyabinsk vs Ural?
The model expects 2.65 goals (FK Chelyabinsk 1.19 · Ural 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Chelyabinsk vs Ural?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.