Football · Russia Division 1 · 25/10, 11:30

Prediction: FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles

Team pages: FK Volga Ulyanovsk · Veles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

FK Volga Ulyanovsk1.38

Veles1.03

1X2

44% 30% 27%

FK Volga Ulyanovsk Draw Veles

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Volga Ulyanovsk 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLLWDW

Veles 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDLWD

Head-to-head

FK Volga Ulyanovsk 4–2–0 Veles (6 last)

Veles1-2FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Veles1-2FK Volga Ulyanovsk
FK Volga Ulyanovsk3-2Veles
Veles0-0FK Volga Ulyanovsk
FK Volga Ulyanovsk1-0Veles
Veles0-0FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Volga Ulyanovsk: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	Veles
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 4.1	– / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.18 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.20
X	3.22 → 3.23▲	Pinn 3.23
2	3.42 → 3.38▼	Pinn 3.38

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +449’	2.18	3.22	3.42
15:11 +10’	2.20▲	3.23▲	3.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Volga Ulyanovsk 4–2–0 Veles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/26 Russia Division 1	Veles	1-2 HT 0-2	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
28/05/25 Russia Division 2	Veles	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
13/04/25 Russia Division 2	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	3-2 HT 1-0	Veles
12/11/23 Russia Division 2	Veles	0-0	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
16/07/23 Russia Division 2	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0	Veles
26/03/23 Russia Division 1	Veles	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	14	12	1	1	43	15	37
2	PFC Sochi	14	9	2	3	23	14	29
3	Torpedo Moscow	14	8	3	3	26	11	27
4	Veles	15	8	3	4	20	18	27
5	FK Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20	13	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	22	10	25
7	FC Ufa	14	5	6	3	18	14	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18	14	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22	17	18
10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	20	22	18
11	Arsenal Tula	14	4	4	6	15	26	16
12	FK Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	18	23	15
13	FK Yenisey	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
14	Kamaz Nab Chelny	14	3	4	7	16	23	13
15	FK Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11	25	13
16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	14	4	0	10	10	21	12
17	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	14	2	4	8	10	22	10
18	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	14	1	4	9	15	28	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	Veles
SKA Energia Khabarovsk	2-1 W	0-2 L
FC Ufa	2-2 D	1-1 D
Arsenal Tula	3-0 W	2-0 W
FC Nizhny Novgorod	2-2 D	3-2 W
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-3 L	1-1 D
PFC Sochi	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Volga Ulyanovsk

LLDWDLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-0	2-2	2	0	D
04/10	Veles Russia Division 1	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
26/09	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
18/09	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
13/09	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
05/09	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
22/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
16/08	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Veles

LWWWDLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
10/10	Ural Russia Division 1	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
04/10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
17/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
14/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
29/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-1	3-2	2	2	W
15/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Volga Ulyanovsk win (44%). Probabilities: FK Volga Ulyanovsk 44%, draw 30%, Veles 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles?

The model expects 2.41 goals (FK Volga Ulyanovsk 1.38 · Veles 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.