Football · Russia Division 1 · 26/10, 17:30

Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Spartak Kostroma

Team pages: Shinnik Yaroslavl · FK Spartak Kostroma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Shinnik Yaroslavl1.17

FK Spartak Kostroma1.05

1X2

37% 32% 31%

Shinnik Yaroslavl Draw FK Spartak Kostroma

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Shinnik Yaroslavl 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWDDLDWD

FK Spartak Kostroma 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Shinnik Yaroslavl 3–2–0 FK Spartak Kostroma (5 last)

FK Spartak Kostroma1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl2-2FK Spartak Kostroma
Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Spartak Kostroma0-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0FK Spartak Kostroma

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shinnik Yaroslavl: 3-2-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shinnik Yaroslavl	FK Spartak Kostroma
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 5.3	– / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.83

Under 21.96

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 21:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.74 → 2.62▼	Pinn 2.62
X	2.93 → 2.94▲	Pinn 2.94
2	2.83 → 2.96▲	Pinn 2.96

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:45 +274’	2.74	2.93	2.83
18:16 +27’	2.78▲	2.94▲	2.77▼
20:34 +39’	2.62▼	2.94	2.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 3–2–0 FK Spartak Kostroma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Russia Division 1	FK Spartak Kostroma	1-1 HT 1-1	Shinnik Yaroslavl
25/10/25 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2-2 HT 1-0	FK Spartak Kostroma
09/07/17 Europe Friendlies	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Spartak Kostroma
04/07/17 Europe Friendlies	FK Spartak Kostroma	0-2 HT 0-0	Shinnik Yaroslavl
29/06/16 Club Friendly List	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Spartak Kostroma

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	14	12	1	1	43	15	37
2	PFC Sochi	14	9	2	3	23	14	29
3	Torpedo Moscow	14	8	3	3	26	11	27
4	Veles	15	8	3	4	20	18	27
5	FK Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20	13	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	22	10	25
7	FC Ufa	14	5	6	3	18	14	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18	14	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22	17	18
10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	20	22	18
11	Arsenal Tula	14	4	4	6	15	26	16
12	FK Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	18	23	15
13	FK Yenisey	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
14	Kamaz Nab Chelny	14	3	4	7	16	23	13
15	FK Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11	25	13
16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	14	4	0	10	10	21	12
17	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	14	2	4	8	10	22	10
18	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	14	1	4	9	15	28	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shinnik Yaroslavl	FK Spartak Kostroma
SKA Energia Khabarovsk	0-0 D	3-1 W
Rotor Volgograd	2-2 D	1-0 W
FK Volga Ulyanovsk	3-1 W	1-0 W
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2-0 W	1-0 W
Arsenal Tula	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shinnik Yaroslavl (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shinnik Yaroslavl

LDWWDDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Veles Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
10/10	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
27/09	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/09	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
05/09	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	10	D
30/08	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
08/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
02/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-1	0-3	4	2	L

FK Spartak Kostroma

WDLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
09/10	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Ural Russia Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
18/09	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
14/09	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
05/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
31/08	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
21/08	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
17/08	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	11	6	D
09/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (37%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 37%, draw 32%, FK Spartak Kostroma 31%.

How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.17 · FK Spartak Kostroma 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.