Football · Russia Division 1 · 05/09, 14:00
Prediction: FK Chelyabinsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma
Team pages: FK Chelyabinsk · FK Spartak Kostroma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
FK Chelyabinsk1.36
FK Spartak Kostroma1.37
1X2
FK Chelyabinsk
Draw
FK Spartak Kostroma
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Chelyabinsk
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FK Spartak Kostroma
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Chelyabinsk
1–2–3
FK Spartak Kostroma
(6 last)
- FK Chelyabinsk3-3FK Spartak Kostroma
- FK Spartak Kostroma2-1FK Chelyabinsk
- FK Chelyabinsk1-5FK Spartak Kostroma
- FK Spartak Kostroma3-1FK Chelyabinsk
- FK Spartak Kostroma0-0FK Chelyabinsk
- FK Chelyabinsk3-1FK Spartak Kostroma
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Spartak Kostroma (rating 1454 vs 1510).
- H2H favours FK Spartak Kostroma: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Chelyabinsk | FK Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 2.9 | – / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chelyabinsk 1–2–3 FK Spartak Kostroma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 3-3 HT 2-2 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
| 17/08/25 Russia Division 1 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 18/05/25 Russia Division 2 | FK Chelyabinsk | 1-5 HT 1-1 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
| 30/03/25 Russia Division 2 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 3-1 HT 3-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 12/10/24 Russia Division 2 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 17/08/24 Russia Division 2 | FK Chelyabinsk | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Veles | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Ural | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Yenisey | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 14 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | FK Leningradets | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Chelyabinsk | FK Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Sochi | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Torpedo Moscow | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Spartak Kostroma (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Chelyabinsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
FK Spartak Kostroma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Sokol Saratov Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Chelyabinsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Chelyabinsk win (36%). Probabilities: FK Chelyabinsk 36%, draw 28%, FK Spartak Kostroma 36%.
How many goals are expected in FK Chelyabinsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
The model expects 2.73 goals (FK Chelyabinsk 1.36 · FK Spartak Kostroma 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Chelyabinsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.