Football · Russia Division 1 · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd
Team pages: Shinnik Yaroslavl · Rotor Volgograd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.54
Rotor Volgograd0.88
1X2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw
Rotor Volgograd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Rotor Volgograd
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–3–2
Rotor Volgograd
(6 last)
- Rotor Volgograd3-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl2-0Rotor Volgograd
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-1Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1530 vs 1485).
- H2H favours Rotor Volgograd: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Rotor Volgograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.4 | – / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–3–2 Rotor Volgograd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 28/09/25 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 29/01/25 Club Friendly List | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 01/12/24 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 14/07/24 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 05/10/22 Russia Cup | Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Veles | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Ural | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Yenisey | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 14 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | FK Leningradets | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Rotor Volgograd |
|---|---|---|
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Arsenal Tula | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Rotor Volgograd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/08 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (52%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 52%, draw 28%, Rotor Volgograd 20%.
How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.54 · Rotor Volgograd 0.88), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.