Football · Russia Division 1 · 13/09, 14:00

Prediction: FC Ufa vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Team pages: FC Ufa · FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

FC Ufa1.68

FK Volga Ulyanovsk0.75

1X2

59% 26% 15%

FC Ufa Draw FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ufa 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLDWWD

FK Volga Ulyanovsk 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLDW

Head-to-head

FC Ufa 2–1–3 FK Volga Ulyanovsk (6 last)

FC Ufa2-1FK Volga Ulyanovsk
FK Volga Ulyanovsk2-0FC Ufa
FK Volga Ulyanovsk0-3FC Ufa
FK Volga Ulyanovsk0-0FC Ufa
FC Ufa0-1FK Volga Ulyanovsk
FK Volga Ulyanovsk2-1FC Ufa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ufa (rating 1546 vs 1461).
H2H favours FK Volga Ulyanovsk: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ufa	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 3.3	– / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.49 → 2.49	Pinn 2.49
X	3.29 → 3.29	Pinn 3.29
2	2.83 → 2.83	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:45 +1204’	2.49	3.29	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ufa 2–1–3 FK Volga Ulyanovsk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Russia Division 1	FC Ufa	2-1 HT 2-0	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
20/10/25 Russia Division 1	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Ufa
22/10/23 Russia Division 2	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	0-3	FC Ufa
13/09/23 Russia Cup	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Ufa
27/08/23 Russia Division 2	FC Ufa	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
12/11/22 Russia Division 1	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Ufa

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	10	8	1	1	28	13	25
2	Veles	10	7	1	2	14	11	22
3	PFC Sochi	10	6	1	3	18	12	19
4	Torpedo Moscow	9	6	1	2	19	6	19
5	Ural	9	5	3	1	16	4	18
6	FK Spartak Kostroma	9	5	3	1	13	8	18
7	FC Ufa	9	4	4	1	13	9	16
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	9	3	5	1	14	11	14
9	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	10	4	0	6	7	13	12
10	Arsenal Tula	10	3	3	4	9	17	12
11	Rotor Volgograd	10	3	2	5	14	14	11
12	FK Yenisey	9	2	4	3	11	14	10
13	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	9	3	1	5	12	14	10
14	FK Leningradets	9	2	3	4	7	12	9
15	FK Chelyabinsk	9	2	1	6	9	16	7
16	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	10	1	3	6	6	15	6
17	Kamaz Nab Chelny	10	1	2	7	9	18	5
18	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	9	1	0	8	8	20	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ufa	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1-0 W	2-0 W
FK Yenisey	3-1 W	1-2 L
Kamaz Nab Chelny	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Volga Ulyanovsk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ufa

WWDWDLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Veles Russia Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
28/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-0	3-1	8	6	W
17/08	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
08/08	Ural Russia Division 1	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
03/08	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/07	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/07	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
11/07	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
16/05	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

FK Volga Ulyanovsk

LLLWLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
22/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
16/08	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
09/08	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
02/08	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
25/07	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/07	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
11/07	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	1-2	1-2	10	4	L
16/05	Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ufa vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ufa win (59%). Probabilities: FC Ufa 59%, draw 26%, FK Volga Ulyanovsk 15%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ufa vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk?

The model expects 2.44 goals (FC Ufa 1.68 · FK Volga Ulyanovsk 0.75), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ufa vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.