Football · Russia Division 1 · 18/09, 16:00
Prediction: FK Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa
Team pages: FK Chelyabinsk · FC Ufa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
FK Chelyabinsk1.21
FC Ufa1.16
1X2
FK Chelyabinsk
Draw
FC Ufa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Chelyabinsk
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FC Ufa
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Chelyabinsk
1–2–1
FC Ufa
(4 last)
- FK Chelyabinsk2-1FC Ufa
- FC Ufa0-0FK Chelyabinsk
- FK Chelyabinsk0-0FC Ufa
- FC Ufa2-0FK Chelyabinsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ufa (rating 1474 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Chelyabinsk | FC Ufa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.5 | – / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chelyabinsk 1–2–1 FC Ufa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/25 Russia Division 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Ufa |
| 28/09/25 Russia Division 1 | FC Ufa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 19/05/24 Russia Division 2 | FK Chelyabinsk | 0-0 | FC Ufa |
| 07/04/24 Russia Division 2 | FC Ufa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
Standings · Russia Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Veles | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Ural | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Leningradets | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | FK Yenisey | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | FK Chelyabinsk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 5 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Chelyabinsk | FC Ufa |
|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Kostroma | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Leningradets | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Veles | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Ufa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Chelyabinsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
FC Ufa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 28/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Chelyabinsk win (36%). Probabilities: FK Chelyabinsk 36%, draw 31%, FC Ufa 34%.
How many goals are expected in FK Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa?
The model expects 2.36 goals (FK Chelyabinsk 1.21 · FC Ufa 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.