Football · Russia Division 1 · 18/09, 17:30
Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz Nab Chelny
Team pages: Shinnik Yaroslavl · Kamaz Nab Chelny
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.8
Kamaz Nab Chelny0.55
1X2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw
Kamaz Nab Chelny
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Kamaz Nab Chelny
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–3–2
Kamaz Nab Chelny
(6 last)
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-0Kamaz Nab Chelny
- Kamaz Nab Chelny0-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0Kamaz Nab Chelny
- Kamaz Nab Chelny3-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl2-2Kamaz Nab Chelny
- Kamaz Nab Chelny4-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1546 vs 1413).
- H2H favours Kamaz Nab Chelny: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Kamaz Nab Chelny | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.5 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–3–2 Kamaz Nab Chelny
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kamaz Nab Chelny |
| 20/09/25 Russia Division 1 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 15/03/25 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kamaz Nab Chelny |
| 29/09/24 Russia Division 1 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 18/11/23 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Kamaz Nab Chelny |
| 14/10/23 Russia Division 1 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Veles | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moscow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Ural | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Leningradets | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | FK Yenisey | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | FK Chelyabinsk | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 16 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Kamaz Nab Chelny |
|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| FK Yenisey | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Leningradets | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| PFC Sochi | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Shinnik Yaroslavl (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Kamaz Nab Chelny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/07 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz Nab Chelny?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (67%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 67%, draw 23%, Kamaz Nab Chelny 10%.
How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz Nab Chelny?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.8 · Kamaz Nab Chelny 0.55), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Kamaz Nab Chelny?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.