Football · Russia Division 1 · 18/09, 16:00
Prediction: FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma
Team pages: FK Volga Ulyanovsk · FK Spartak Kostroma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
FK Volga Ulyanovsk1.15
FK Spartak Kostroma1.12
1X2
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Draw
FK Spartak Kostroma
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
FK Spartak Kostroma
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
1–3–2
FK Spartak Kostroma
(6 last)
- FK Spartak Kostroma1-1FK Volga Ulyanovsk
- FK Volga Ulyanovsk1-0FK Spartak Kostroma
- FK Spartak Kostroma1-1FK Volga Ulyanovsk
- FK Spartak Kostroma1-1FK Volga Ulyanovsk
- FK Volga Ulyanovsk1-2FK Spartak Kostroma
- FK Volga Ulyanovsk0-1FK Spartak Kostroma
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Spartak Kostroma (rating 1489 vs 1539).
- H2H favours FK Spartak Kostroma: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | FK Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.1 | – / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Volga Ulyanovsk 1–3–2 FK Spartak Kostroma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Club Friendly List | FK Spartak Kostroma | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
| 28/03/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
| 29/09/25 Russia Division 1 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
| 04/05/25 Russia Division 2 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
| 16/03/25 Russia Division 2 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
| 11/05/24 Russia Division 2 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-1 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Veles | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Ural | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Leningradets | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | FK Yenisey | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | FK Chelyabinsk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 5 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | FK Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| FC Ufa | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| PFC Sochi | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Torpedo Moscow | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Yenisey | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Spartak Kostroma (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
FK Spartak Kostroma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 31/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Volga Ulyanovsk win (35%). Probabilities: FK Volga Ulyanovsk 35%, draw 31%, FK Spartak Kostroma 34%.
How many goals are expected in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
The model expects 2.27 goals (FK Volga Ulyanovsk 1.15 · FK Spartak Kostroma 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.