Football · Russia Division 1 · 11/10, 16:00
Prediction: PFC Sochi vs FC Ufa
Team pages: PFC Sochi · FC Ufa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
PFC Sochi1.66
FC Ufa0.79
1X2
PFC Sochi
Draw
FC Ufa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
PFC Sochi
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
FC Ufa
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PFC Sochi
5–1–0
FC Ufa
(6 last)
- PFC Sochi5-2FC Ufa
- FC Ufa3-4PFC Sochi
- FC Ufa1-2PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi3-1FC Ufa
- FC Ufa2-3PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi1-1FC Ufa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFC Sochi (rating 1552 vs 1476).
- H2H favours PFC Sochi: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PFC Sochi | FC Ufa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.1 | – / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Sochi 5–1–0 FC Ufa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/24 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 5-2 HT 1-1 | FC Ufa |
| 25/08/24 Russia Division 1 | FC Ufa | 3-4 HT 3-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 10/04/22 Russia Premier League | FC Ufa | 1-2 HT 0-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 12/09/21 Russia Premier League | PFC Sochi | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FC Ufa |
| 25/04/21 Russia Premier League | FC Ufa | 2-3 HT 1-2 | PFC Sochi |
| 06/11/20 Russia Premier League | PFC Sochi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Ufa |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 19 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | FC Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | FK Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 12 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 15 |
| 13 | FK Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 14 |
| 14 | FK Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PFC Sochi | FC Ufa |
|---|---|---|
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Veles | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Torpedo Moscow | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PFC Sochi (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PFC Sochi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
FC Ufa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/09 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 28/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PFC Sochi vs FC Ufa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PFC Sochi win (57%). Probabilities: PFC Sochi 57%, draw 26%, FC Ufa 16%.
How many goals are expected in PFC Sochi vs FC Ufa?
The model expects 2.45 goals (PFC Sochi 1.66 · FC Ufa 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PFC Sochi vs FC Ufa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.