Football · Russia Division 1 · 09/10, 18:30
Prediction: Arsenal Tula vs FK Spartak Kostroma
Team pages: Arsenal Tula · FK Spartak Kostroma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Arsenal Tula1.01
FK Spartak Kostroma1.24
1X2
Arsenal Tula
Draw
FK Spartak Kostroma
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Arsenal Tula
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
FK Spartak Kostroma
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arsenal Tula
0–2–1
FK Spartak Kostroma
(3 last)
- Arsenal Tula1-1FK Spartak Kostroma
- FK Spartak Kostroma1-1Arsenal Tula
- Arsenal Tula1-2FK Spartak Kostroma
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Spartak Kostroma (rating 1457 vs 1547).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal Tula | FK Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | – / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal Tula 0–2–1 FK Spartak Kostroma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Club Friendly List | Arsenal Tula | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
| 25/04/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 13/09/25 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FK Spartak Kostroma |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 13 |
| 12 | FK Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 12 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal Tula | FK Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| FK Yenisey | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Ural | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Rotor Volgograd | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Torpedo Moscow | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Spartak Kostroma (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/08 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
FK Spartak Kostroma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 31/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal Tula vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Spartak Kostroma win (40%). Probabilities: Arsenal Tula 29%, draw 31%, FK Spartak Kostroma 40%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal Tula vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Arsenal Tula 1.01 · FK Spartak Kostroma 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal Tula vs FK Spartak Kostroma?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.