Football · Russia Division 1 · 16/10, 18:00
Prediction: Rotor Volgograd vs PFC Sochi
Team pages: Rotor Volgograd · PFC Sochi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Rotor Volgograd1.27
PFC Sochi1.33
1X2
Rotor Volgograd
Draw
PFC Sochi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rotor Volgograd
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
PFC Sochi
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rotor Volgograd
0–3–3
PFC Sochi
(6 last)
- Rotor Volgograd1-1PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi0-0Rotor Volgograd
- PFC Sochi2-1Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd1-2PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi4-2Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd1-1PFC Sochi
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFC Sochi (rating 1489 vs 1552).
- H2H favours PFC Sochi: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rotor Volgograd | PFC Sochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.1 | – / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rotor Volgograd 0–3–3 PFC Sochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/24 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 14/09/24 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 07/05/21 Russia Premier League | PFC Sochi | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 22/08/20 Russia Premier League | Rotor Volgograd | 1-2 HT 0-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 14/11/18 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 04/08/18 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PFC Sochi |
Standings · Russia Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 19 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | FC Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | FK Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 12 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 15 |
| 13 | FK Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 14 |
| 14 | FK Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rotor Volgograd | PFC Sochi |
|---|---|---|
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Arsenal Tula | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Veles | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: PFC Sochi (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rotor Volgograd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 17/09 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 05/09 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 31/08 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/08 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
PFC Sochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rotor Volgograd vs PFC Sochi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PFC Sochi win (37%). Probabilities: Rotor Volgograd 34%, draw 29%, PFC Sochi 37%.
How many goals are expected in Rotor Volgograd vs PFC Sochi?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Rotor Volgograd 1.27 · PFC Sochi 1.33), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rotor Volgograd vs PFC Sochi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.