Football · Russia Division 1 · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Ufa vs FC Nizhny Novgorod

Team pages: FC Ufa · FC Nizhny Novgorod

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

FC Ufa1.14

FC Nizhny Novgorod1.61

1X2

26% 27% 47%

FC Ufa Draw FC Nizhny Novgorod

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ufa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDDLDLW

FC Nizhny Novgorod 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Ufa 1–3–0 FC Nizhny Novgorod (4 last)

FC Ufa0-0FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod1-2FC Ufa
FC Nizhny Novgorod0-0FC Ufa
FC Nizhny Novgorod1-1FC Ufa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nizhny Novgorod (rating 1501 vs 1626).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ufa	FC Nizhny Novgorod
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	3.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 3.9	– / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.79

Under 2.252.01

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.98 → 4.98	Pinn 4.98
X	3.64 → 3.64	Pinn 3.64
2	1.69 → 1.69	Pinn 1.69

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +39’	4.98	3.64	1.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ufa 1–3–0 FC Nizhny Novgorod

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/22 Russia Premier League	FC Ufa	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod
14/08/21 Russia Premier League	FC Nizhny Novgorod	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Ufa
26/09/18 Russia Cup	FC Nizhny Novgorod	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Ufa
21/09/17 Russia Cup	FC Nizhny Novgorod	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Ufa

Standings · Russia Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	14	12	1	1	43	15	37
2	PFC Sochi	14	9	2	3	23	14	29
3	Torpedo Moscow	14	8	3	3	26	11	27
4	Veles	15	8	3	4	20	18	27
5	FK Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20	13	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	22	10	25
7	FC Ufa	14	5	6	3	18	14	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18	14	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22	17	18
10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	20	22	18
11	Arsenal Tula	14	4	4	6	15	26	16
12	FK Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	18	23	15
13	FK Yenisey	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
14	Kamaz Nab Chelny	14	3	4	7	16	23	13
15	FK Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11	25	13
16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	14	4	0	10	10	21	12
17	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	14	2	4	8	10	22	10
18	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	14	1	4	9	15	28	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ufa	FC Nizhny Novgorod
PFC Sochi	0-1 L	1-0 W
Torpedo Moscow	0-0 D	2-1 W
FK Volga Ulyanovsk	2-2 D	2-2 D
Veles	1-1 D	2-3 L
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1-0 W	5-1 W
FK Yenisey	3-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nizhny Novgorod (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ufa

LDWWDDLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/10	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
27/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	1	L
13/09	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	2-2	4	5	D
05/09	Veles Russia Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
28/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-0	3-1	8	6	W
17/08	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
08/08	Ural Russia Division 1	0-1	0-3	1	4	L

FC Nizhny Novgorod

WWWLWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	2-0	5-0	8	4	W
17/09	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	6-0	7	5	W
13/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
05/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
24/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
19/08	Veles Russia Division 1	1-0	2-3	7	2	L
15/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	3-0	5-1	0	2	W
02/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ufa vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Nizhny Novgorod win (47%). Probabilities: FC Ufa 26%, draw 27%, FC Nizhny Novgorod 47%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ufa vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

The model expects 2.75 goals (FC Ufa 1.14 · FC Nizhny Novgorod 1.61), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ufa vs FC Nizhny Novgorod?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.