Football · Austria Landesliga · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: SV Strasswalchen vs Salzburger AK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

SV Strasswalchen2.36

Salzburger AK1.66

1X2

52% 22% 26%

SV Strasswalchen Draw Salzburger AK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Strasswalchen 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWWW

Salzburger AK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLDLWWWD

Head-to-head

SV Strasswalchen 3–2–0 Salzburger AK (5 last)

Salzburger AK1-5SV Strasswalchen
SV Strasswalchen2-2Salzburger AK
SV Strasswalchen2-0Salzburger AK
SV Strasswalchen5-2Salzburger AK
SV Strasswalchen2-2Salzburger AK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Strasswalchen 1566 · Salzburger AK 1509

	SV Strasswalchen	Draw	Salzburger AK
Our model	53%	21%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Strasswalchen (rating 1566 vs 1509).
H2H favours SV Strasswalchen: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Strasswalchen	Salzburger AK
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.6	1.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.3	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:52 +9’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Strasswalchen 3–2–0 Salzburger AK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Austria Landesliga	Salzburger AK	1-5 HT 0-0	SV Strasswalchen
24/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Strasswalchen	2-2 HT 1-1	Salzburger AK
06/10/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Strasswalchen	2-0 HT 1-0	Salzburger AK
18/08/17 Austria Landesliga	SV Strasswalchen	5-2 HT 3-0	Salzburger AK
02/03/17 Europe Friendlies	SV Strasswalchen	2-2 HT 1-1	Salzburger AK

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Strasswalchen	Salzburger AK
TSV Neumarkt	2-1 W	3-2 W
SV Schwarzach	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Salzburger AK (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Strasswalchen

LLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/06	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-2	13	5	W
06/06	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	3-1	4-1	3	4	W
03/06	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	0-0	5-1	–	–	W
29/05	SV Grodig Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/05	Puch Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/05	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
09/05	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	2-4	3-5	–	–	L
02/05	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	5	7	L

Salzburger AK

LWDLDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/06	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
06/06	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
03/06	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-5	–	–	L
31/05	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
22/05	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
17/05	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
08/05	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	0-1	4-3	–	–	W
30/04	OTSU Hallein Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Strasswalchen vs Salzburger AK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Strasswalchen win (52%). Probabilities: SV Strasswalchen 52%, draw 22%, Salzburger AK 26%.

How many goals are expected in SV Strasswalchen vs Salzburger AK?

The model expects 4.02 goals (SV Strasswalchen 2.36 · Salzburger AK 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Strasswalchen vs Salzburger AK?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.