Football · Austria Landesliga · 23/08, 16:00

Prediction: SK Pama vs St Margarethen/Bur

Team pages: SK Pama · St Margarethen/Bur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

SK Pama1.52

St Margarethen/Bur1.42

1X2

40% 24% 36%

SK Pama Draw St Margarethen/Bur

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Pama 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDDDWLLW

St Margarethen/Bur 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

SK Pama 1–2 St Margarethen/Bur (3 last)

SK Pama2-0St Margarethen/Bur
St Margarethen/Bur4-2SK Pama
SK Pama1-2St Margarethen/Bur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Pama 1465 · St Margarethen/Bur 1537

	SK Pama	Draw	St Margarethen/Bur
Our model	39%	27%	35%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Margarethen/Bur (rating 1465 vs 1537).
H2H favours St Margarethen/Bur: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Pama	St Margarethen/Bur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.6	4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +19’	2.20	4.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Pama 1–0–2 St Margarethen/Bur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SK Pama	2-0 HT 1-0	St Margarethen/Bur
13/09/25 Austria Landesliga	St Margarethen/Bur	4-2 HT 1-1	SK Pama
27/10/24 Austria Landesliga	SK Pama	1-2 HT 1-1	St Margarethen/Bur

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team Wiener Linien	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Red Star Penzing	1	1	0	3	2	3
3	Sportunion Mauer	1	1	0	2	1	3
4	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	FC 1980 Wien	1	0	1	2	3	0
15	SV Schwechat	1	0	1	1	2	0
16	Slovan HAC	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Pama	St Margarethen/Bur
Oberpullendorf	1-0 W	3-2 W
ASK Klingenbach	1-3 L	3-1 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: St Margarethen/Bur (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Pama

DWLDDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/08	Neusiedl Austria Landesliga	1-3	1-3	15	5	L
06/06	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	SV Eberau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
15/05	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	ASK Horitschon Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
01/05	SV Leithaprodersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	7	7	L
25/04	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
19/04	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D

St Margarethen/Bur

LDLWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SV Lackenbach Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	SC Rust Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
05/06	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
29/05	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
22/05	Jennersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
09/05	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
25/04	ASV Siegendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
17/04	SC Bad Sauerbrunn Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Pama vs St Margarethen/Bur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Pama win (40%). Probabilities: SK Pama 40%, draw 24%, St Margarethen/Bur 36%.

How many goals are expected in SK Pama vs St Margarethen/Bur?

The model expects 2.94 goals (SK Pama 1.52 · St Margarethen/Bur 1.42), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Pama vs St Margarethen/Bur?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.