Football · Austria Landesliga · 23/08, 11:00

Prediction: TSV Grafenstein vs SAK Klagenfurt

Team pages: TSV Grafenstein · SAK Klagenfurt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

TSV Grafenstein1.94

SAK Klagenfurt1.46

1X2

49% 23% 29%

TSV Grafenstein Draw SAK Klagenfurt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Grafenstein 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLWWLD

SAK Klagenfurt 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDWDLW

Head-to-head

TSV Grafenstein 2–1–0 SAK Klagenfurt (3 last)

SAK Klagenfurt1-4TSV Grafenstein
TSV Grafenstein3-1SAK Klagenfurt
TSV Grafenstein1-1SAK Klagenfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV Grafenstein 1558 · SAK Klagenfurt 1514

	TSV Grafenstein	Draw	SAK Klagenfurt
Our model	48%	24%	28%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TSV Grafenstein (rating 1558 vs 1514).
H2H favours TSV Grafenstein: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TSV Grafenstein	SAK Klagenfurt
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.6	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:52 +9’	1.83	4.10	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Grafenstein 2–1–0 SAK Klagenfurt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SAK Klagenfurt	1-4 HT 1-0	TSV Grafenstein
12/09/25 Austria Landesliga	TSV Grafenstein	3-1 HT 1-1	SAK Klagenfurt
25/10/23 Austria Amateur Cup	TSV Grafenstein	1-1 HT 0-0	SAK Klagenfurt

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team Wiener Linien	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Red Star Penzing	1	1	0	3	2	3
3	Sportunion Mauer	1	1	0	2	1	3
4	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	FC 1980 Wien	1	0	1	2	3	0
15	SV Schwechat	1	0	1	1	2	0
16	Slovan HAC	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Grafenstein	SAK Klagenfurt
SV Spittal/Drau	1-1 D	2-2 D
Lendorf	1-2 L	1-0 W
TSU Matrei	3-1 W	3-0 W
ATSV Wolfsberg	3-4 L	0-0 D
KAC 1909	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SAK Klagenfurt (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Grafenstein

LDLWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
07/08	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/07	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
03/06	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	3-2	3-2	8	4	W
29/05	VST Volkermarkt Austria Landesliga	3-1	3-5	–	–	L
23/05	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/05	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/05	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-4	6	2	L
08/05	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	0	2	L

SAK Klagenfurt

WDDDWDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
31/07	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
05/06	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	0-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/05	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/05	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
17/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/05	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
08/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Grafenstein vs SAK Klagenfurt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TSV Grafenstein win (49%). Probabilities: TSV Grafenstein 49%, draw 23%, SAK Klagenfurt 29%.

How many goals are expected in TSV Grafenstein vs SAK Klagenfurt?

The model expects 3.4 goals (TSV Grafenstein 1.94 · SAK Klagenfurt 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TSV Grafenstein vs SAK Klagenfurt?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.