Football · Austria Landesliga · 23/08, 11:00

Prediction: FC Hard vs SV Ludesch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FC Hard1.64

SV Ludesch1.36

1X2

44% 24% 32%

FC Hard Draw SV Ludesch

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Hard 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLLWD

SV Ludesch 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Hard 2–0 SV Ludesch (2 last)

FC Hard2-1SV Ludesch
SV Ludesch0-1FC Hard

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Hard 1547 · SV Ludesch 1502

	FC Hard	Draw	SV Ludesch
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Hard (rating 1547 vs 1502).
H2H favours FC Hard: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Hard	SV Ludesch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	0 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:25 +38’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Hard 2–0–0 SV Ludesch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Austria Regionalliga Vorarlberg	FC Hard	2-1 HT 1-0	SV Ludesch
08/11/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Ludesch	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Hard

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team Wiener Linien	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Red Star Penzing	1	1	0	3	2	3
3	Sportunion Mauer	1	1	0	2	1	3
4	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	FC 1980 Wien	1	0	1	2	3	0
15	SV Schwechat	1	0	1	1	2	0
16	Slovan HAC	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Hard	SV Ludesch
Austria Lustenau II	3-1 W	4-3 W
FC Nenzing	2-0 W	5-0 W
FC Wolfurt	3-2 W	3-2 W
Dornbirner SV	2-1 W	1-0 W
FC Bizau	1-1 D	1-2 L
Blau Weiss Feldkirch	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Hard

LDWWWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	FC Riefensberg Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/06	Admira Dornbirn Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
03/06	SC Rothis Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
30/05	SV Lochau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	Austria Lustenau II Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	10	2	W
16/05	FC Nenzing Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	FC Wolfurt Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
02/05	Dornbirner SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
24/04	FC Bizau Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Blau Weiss Feldkirch Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

SV Ludesch

WLLLDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Andelsbuch Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
07/06	FC Nenzing Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
04/06	FC Wolfurt Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	7	0	W
30/05	Dornbirner SV Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/05	FC Bizau Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	Blau Weiss Feldkirch Austria Landesliga	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
10/05	FC Egg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/05	SC Gofis Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	FC Rotenberg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Austria Lustenau II Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-3	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Hard vs SV Ludesch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Hard win (44%). Probabilities: FC Hard 44%, draw 24%, SV Ludesch 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Hard vs SV Ludesch?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FC Hard 1.64 · SV Ludesch 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Hard vs SV Ludesch?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.