Football · Austria Landesliga · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: SV Burmoos vs TSV Neumarkt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

SV Burmoos2.88

TSV Neumarkt1.24

1X2

70% 17% 13%

SV Burmoos Draw TSV Neumarkt

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Burmoos 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWWDWW

TSV Neumarkt 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLDLLDDL

Head-to-head

SV Burmoos 2–1–0 TSV Neumarkt (3 last)

SV Burmoos1-1TSV Neumarkt
TSV Neumarkt1-5SV Burmoos
TSV Neumarkt2-3SV Burmoos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Burmoos 1587 · TSV Neumarkt 1430

	SV Burmoos	Draw	TSV Neumarkt
Our model	71%	16%	13%
Market	70%	17%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Burmoos (rating 1587 vs 1430).
H2H favours SV Burmoos: 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Burmoos	TSV Neumarkt
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1	2 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	1.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.25

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.27▼	Pinn 1.44 ★
X	4.50 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25
2	5.00 → 7.00▲	Pinn 7.47

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:45 +5’	1.44	4.50	5.00
20:52 +17’	1.27▼	5.25▲	7.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:51 +1’	1.44	3.40	7.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Burmoos 2–1–0 TSV Neumarkt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Burmoos	1-1 HT 1-1	TSV Neumarkt
19/09/25 Austria Landesliga	TSV Neumarkt	1-5 HT 0-3	SV Burmoos
03/09/21 Austria Landesliga	TSV Neumarkt	2-3 HT 1-1	SV Burmoos

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Burmoos	TSV Neumarkt
SV Anthering	5-1 W	2-2 D
Salzburger AK	0-0 D	2-3 L
SV Grodig	2-4 L	1-3 L
Puch	2-1 W	1-1 D
SV Schwarzach	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Burmoos (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Burmoos

DWWLDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
08/08	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/06	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	7	2	W
03/06	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-1	5	0	W
31/05	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
22/05	SV Grodig Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
14/05	Puch Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
08/05	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
30/04	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

TSV Neumarkt

DWLLDLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-4	–	–	D
13/06	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	5	1	D
06/06	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
02/06	SV Grodig Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
29/05	Puch Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
22/05	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
09/05	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	4-2	5-3	–	–	W
30/04	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Burmoos vs TSV Neumarkt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Burmoos win (70%). Probabilities: SV Burmoos 70%, draw 17%, TSV Neumarkt 13%.

How many goals are expected in SV Burmoos vs TSV Neumarkt?

The model expects 4.12 goals (SV Burmoos 2.88 · TSV Neumarkt 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Burmoos vs TSV Neumarkt?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.