Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 22/08, 14:30
Prediction: Rijnsburgse Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Team pages: Rijnsburgse Boys · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.32Total
Rijnsburgse Boys2.59
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1.73
1X2
Rijnsburgse Boys
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rijnsburgse Boys
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rijnsburgse Boys
4–2
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
(6 last)
- Rijnsburgse Boys4-2Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2-4Rijnsburgse Boys
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2-3Rijnsburgse Boys
- Rijnsburgse Boys1-0Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Rijnsburgse Boys1-4Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2-1Rijnsburgse Boys
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rijnsburgse Boys 1515 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1479
| Rijnsburgse Boys | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 20% | 25% |
| Market | 56% | 19% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rijnsburgse Boys: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rijnsburgse Boys | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 2.6 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rijnsburgse Boys 4–0–2 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Rijnsburgse Boys | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 29/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Rijnsburgse Boys |
| 19/04/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Rijnsburgse Boys |
| 16/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 16/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 07/10/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Rijnsburgse Boys |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC Hardenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | HSV Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | IJsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rijnsburgse Boys | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Almere City Reserves | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Katwijk | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| De Treffers | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Barendrecht | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rijnsburgse Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rijnsburgse Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rijnsburgse Boys win (56%). Probabilities: Rijnsburgse Boys 56%, draw 19%, Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 25%.
How many goals are expected in Rijnsburgse Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?
The model expects 4.32 goals (Rijnsburgse Boys 2.59 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1.73), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rijnsburgse Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.