Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: De Treffers vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Team pages: De Treffers · Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

De Treffers2.47

Rijnsburgse Boys1.46

1X2

59% 20% 21%

De Treffers Draw Rijnsburgse Boys

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

De Treffers 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWDWW

Rijnsburgse Boys 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWLWLL

Head-to-head

De Treffers 2–3–1 Rijnsburgse Boys (6 last)

Rijnsburgse Boys2-2De Treffers
De Treffers1-1Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys2-1De Treffers
De Treffers2-2Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys2-4De Treffers
De Treffers2-0Rijnsburgse Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · De Treffers 1618 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1487

	De Treffers	Draw	Rijnsburgse Boys
Our model	59%	20%	21%
Market	59%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Treffers (rating 1618 vs 1487).
H2H favours De Treffers: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	De Treffers	Rijnsburgse Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.9	2.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.6	2.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.56 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.63
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +3’	1.50	4.50	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +6’	1.56	4.63	4.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · De Treffers 2–3–1 Rijnsburgse Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-2 HT 2-1	De Treffers
25/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-1 HT 1-1	Rijnsburgse Boys
03/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-1 HT 1-0	De Treffers
23/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	2-2 HT 1-0	Rijnsburgse Boys
24/02/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-4 HT 0-2	De Treffers
23/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	2-0 HT 2-0	Rijnsburgse Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
3	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
4	HHC Hardenberg	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
5	Kloetinge	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
6	HSV Hoek	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
7	Almere City Reserves	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
8	IJsselmeervogels	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
8	Spakenburg	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	Amsterdamsche FC	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
11	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
12	RKAV Volendam	2	1	0	1	2	6	3
13	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
14	Katwijk	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
15	Koninklijke HFC	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
16	GVVV Veenendaal	2	0	0	2	3	8	0
17	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	0	0	2	3	10	0
18	ROHDA Raalte	2	0	0	2	1	9	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	De Treffers	Rijnsburgse Boys
HSV Hoek	2-2 D	0-2 L
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	4-1 W	3-6 L
Spakenburg	0-0 D	2-3 L
Koninklijke HFC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Katwijk	4-1 W	2-3 L
ACV Assen	6-2 W	1-1 D
RKAV Volendam	1-0 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: De Treffers (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

De Treffers

DWWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	6	2	W
23/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
16/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-1	8	1	W
09/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
25/04	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
18/04	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	0	6	W
11/04	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	6-2	3	3	W
04/04	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
28/03	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-2	9	1	D

Rijnsburgse Boys

DDLWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-6	–	–	L
15/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-4	8	2	L
23/05	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	7-0	8	0	W
16/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
09/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	4-2	6	1	W
25/04	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
18/04	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	9	5	W
11/04	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	0	3	L
28/03	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-2	4	1	D
21/03	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	9	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in De Treffers vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a De Treffers win (59%). Probabilities: De Treffers 59%, draw 20%, Rijnsburgse Boys 21%.

How many goals are expected in De Treffers vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model expects 3.92 goals (De Treffers 2.47 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in De Treffers vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.