Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 29/08, 15:00
Prediction: Almere City Reserves vs Koninklijke HFC
Team pages: Almere City Reserves · Koninklijke HFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Almere City Reserves2.01
Koninklijke HFC1.17
1X2
Almere City Reserves
Draw
Koninklijke HFC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Almere City Reserves
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Koninklijke HFC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almere City Reserves
2–1–3
Koninklijke HFC
(6 last)
- Almere City Reserves2-1Koninklijke HFC
- Koninklijke HFC2-1Almere City Reserves
- Almere City Reserves1-2Koninklijke HFC
- Koninklijke HFC2-1Almere City Reserves
- Koninklijke HFC0-2Almere City Reserves
- Almere City Reserves1-1Koninklijke HFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almere City Reserves 1519 · Koninklijke HFC 1422
| Almere City Reserves | Draw | Koninklijke HFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almere City Reserves (rating 1519 vs 1422).
- H2H favours Koninklijke HFC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almere City Reserves | Koninklijke HFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almere City Reserves 2–1–3 Koninklijke HFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Koninklijke HFC |
| 25/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Almere City Reserves |
| 03/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Koninklijke HFC |
| 23/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Almere City Reserves |
| 25/05/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Almere City Reserves |
| 16/12/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Koninklijke HFC |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC Hardenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | HSV Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | IJsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almere City Reserves | Koninklijke HFC |
|---|---|---|
| Rijnsburgse Boys | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| HSV Hoek | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Spakenburg | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Katwijk | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almere City Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-2 | 5-4 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
Koninklijke HFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almere City Reserves vs Koninklijke HFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Almere City Reserves win (56%). Probabilities: Almere City Reserves 56%, draw 22%, Koninklijke HFC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Almere City Reserves vs Koninklijke HFC?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Almere City Reserves 2.01 · Koninklijke HFC 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Almere City Reserves vs Koninklijke HFC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.