Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 15/08, 15:30

Prediction: Almere City Reserves vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

Almere City Reserves1.82

Rijnsburgse Boys2.09

1X2

33% 23% 44%

Almere City Reserves Draw Rijnsburgse Boys

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Almere City Reserves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Rijnsburgse Boys 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Almere City Reserves 2–4 Rijnsburgse Boys (6 last)

Rijnsburgse Boys2-1Almere City Reserves
Almere City Reserves5-1Rijnsburgse Boys
Almere City Reserves2-3Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys4-2Almere City Reserves
Almere City Reserves0-2Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys1-2Almere City Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Almere City Reserves 1513 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1520

	Almere City Reserves	Draw	Rijnsburgse Boys
Our model	34%	22%	44%
Market	33%	23%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rijnsburgse Boys: 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Almere City Reserves	Rijnsburgse Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	2.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	2.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.90

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +9’	2.70	3.90	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Almere City Reserves 2–0–4 Rijnsburgse Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-1 HT 2-0	Almere City Reserves
04/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	5-1 HT 4-0	Rijnsburgse Boys
11/01/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	2-3 HT 2-1	Rijnsburgse Boys
17/08/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	4-2 HT 1-0	Almere City Reserves
18/05/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	0-2 HT 0-1	Rijnsburgse Boys
09/12/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	1-2 HT 0-1	Almere City Reserves

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amsterdamsche FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barendrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	De Treffers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GVVV Veenendaal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HHC Hardenberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSV Hoek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IJsselmeervogels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Almere City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kloetinge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Koninklijke HFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kozakken Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Quick Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rijnsburgse Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RKAV Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ROHDA Raalte	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spakenburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Katwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Almere City Reserves	Rijnsburgse Boys
RKAV Volendam	3-2 W	7-0 W
HSV Hoek	0-4 L	0-2 L
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	3-0 W	4-2 W
Spakenburg	0-1 L	2-3 L
Koninklijke HFC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Katwijk	0-3 L	2-3 L
De Treffers	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rijnsburgse Boys (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Almere City Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	5-4	6	1	W
16/05	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/05	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-2	7	4	W
25/04	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
18/04	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
11/04	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
28/03	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	5	W
21/03	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	5	1	L
14/03	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-3	2	0	L
07/03	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-2	3	2	L

Rijnsburgse Boys

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Noordwijk Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
01/08	Rijnvogels Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-2	7	0	W
23/05	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	7-0	8	0	W
16/05	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
09/05	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	4-2	6	1	W
25/04	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
18/04	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	9	5	W
11/04	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	0	3	L
28/03	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-2	4	1	D
21/03	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	9	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Almere City Reserves vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rijnsburgse Boys win (44%). Probabilities: Almere City Reserves 33%, draw 23%, Rijnsburgse Boys 44%.

How many goals are expected in Almere City Reserves vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model expects 3.91 goals (Almere City Reserves 1.82 · Rijnsburgse Boys 2.09), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Almere City Reserves vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.