Prediction: Katwijk vs HSV Hoek

Team pages: Katwijk · HSV Hoek

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
Katwijk1.8
HSV Hoek1.72
1X2
40% 24% 36%
Katwijk Draw HSV Hoek
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Katwijk 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLWDLL
HSV Hoek 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWDLWWW
Head-to-head
Katwijk 0–2 HSV Hoek (2 last)
  • HSV Hoek2-0Katwijk
  • Katwijk0-1HSV Hoek
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katwijk 1512 · HSV Hoek 1550
KatwijkDrawHSV Hoek
Our model40%24%36%
Market40%24%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours HSV Hoek: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KatwijkHSV Hoek
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.72.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.81.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 71.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.1 / 0.12.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Katwijk 002 HSV Hoek

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek2-0
HT 1-0
Katwijk
16/08/25
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Katwijk0-1
HT 0-0
HSV Hoek

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 110 613
2 Quick Boys 110 503
3 De Treffers 110 513
4 Almere City Reserves 110 403
5 HHC Hardenberg 110 313
5 HSV Hoek 110 313
5 Kloetinge 110 313
8 IJsselmeervogels 110 213
9 Spakenburg 110 103
10 Kozakken Boys 101 120
11 Katwijk 101 010
12 Amsterdamsche FC 101 130
12 Barendrecht 101 130
12 Koninklijke HFC 101 130
15 GVVV Veenendaal 101 150
16 Rijnsburgse Boys 101 040
17 ROHDA Raalte 101 160
18 RKAV Volendam 101 050

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKatwijkHSV Hoek
Koninklijke HFC 4-0 W 3-1 W
De Treffers 1-4 L 2-2 D
Rijnsburgse Boys 3-2 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HSV Hoek (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katwijk

LWLWWLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Spakenburg
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
0-1 0-1 43 L
04/08 FC Lisse
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-2 61 L
11/07 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-1 30 D
23/05 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
1-1 4-1 32 W
16/05 Spakenburg
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
0-1 1-2 20 L
09/05 Koninklijke HFC
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
0-0 4-0 141 W
25/04 ACV Assen
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
2-1 3-2 63 W
18/04 De Treffers
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
0-0 1-4 86 L
11/04 Rijnsburgse Boys
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
2-1 3-2 143 W
04/04 HSV Hoek
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
0-1 0-2 103 L

HSV Hoek

LWWLWDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Koninklijke HFC
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
1-1 3-1 64 W
08/08 Capelle
Club Friendly List
3-0 6-1 W
05/08 SK Roeselare
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-1 W
15/07 NAC
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-2 41 L
23/05 De Treffers
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
1-1 2-2 03 D
16/05 Rijnsburgse Boys
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
0-0 2-0 50 W
09/05 Barendrecht
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
1-3 2-4 63 L
25/04 Almere City Reserves
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
1-0 4-0 21 W
18/04 Amsterdamsche FC
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
4-0 5-1 32 W
11/04 Kozakken Boys
Netherlands Tweede Divisie
1-0 1-2 83 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katwijk vs HSV Hoek?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Katwijk win (40%). Probabilities: Katwijk 40%, draw 24%, HSV Hoek 36%.

How many goals are expected in Katwijk vs HSV Hoek?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Katwijk 1.8 · HSV Hoek 1.72), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Katwijk vs HSV Hoek?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.