Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 22/08, 14:30
Prediction: HHC Hardenberg vs Almere City Reserves
Team pages: HHC Hardenberg · Almere City Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
HHC Hardenberg1.96
Almere City Reserves1.54
1X2
HHC Hardenberg
Draw
Almere City Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HHC Hardenberg
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Almere City Reserves
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HHC Hardenberg
3–1–2
Almere City Reserves
(6 last)
- HHC Hardenberg3-1Almere City Reserves
- Almere City Reserves1-3HHC Hardenberg
- Almere City Reserves2-1HHC Hardenberg
- HHC Hardenberg0-0Almere City Reserves
- Almere City Reserves1-0HHC Hardenberg
- HHC Hardenberg1-0Almere City Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HHC Hardenberg 1546 · Almere City Reserves 1517
| HHC Hardenberg | Draw | Almere City Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 23% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours HHC Hardenberg: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HHC Hardenberg | Almere City Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HHC Hardenberg 3–1–2 Almere City Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | HHC Hardenberg | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Almere City Reserves |
| 16/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 1-3 HT 0-1 | HHC Hardenberg |
| 08/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 2-1 HT 1-0 | HHC Hardenberg |
| 05/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | HHC Hardenberg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Almere City Reserves |
| 17/02/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HHC Hardenberg |
| 16/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | HHC Hardenberg | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Almere City Reserves |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC Hardenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | HSV Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | IJsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HHC Hardenberg | Almere City Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| GVVV Veenendaal | 2-1 W | 5-4 W |
| Excelsior Maassluis | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| RKAV Volendam | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HHC Hardenberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Genemuiden Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Almere City Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-2 | 5-4 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HHC Hardenberg vs Almere City Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HHC Hardenberg win (47%). Probabilities: HHC Hardenberg 47%, draw 23%, Almere City Reserves 30%.
How many goals are expected in HHC Hardenberg vs Almere City Reserves?
The model expects 3.5 goals (HHC Hardenberg 1.96 · Almere City Reserves 1.54), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in HHC Hardenberg vs Almere City Reserves?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.