Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 22/08, 14:30
Prediction: RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg
Team pages: RKAV Volendam · Spakenburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
RKAV Volendam1.36
Spakenburg2.12
1X2
RKAV Volendam
Draw
Spakenburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
RKAV Volendam
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Spakenburg
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RKAV Volendam
1–3
Spakenburg
(4 last)
- Spakenburg3-4RKAV Volendam
- RKAV Volendam1-3Spakenburg
- RKAV Volendam1-2Spakenburg
- Spakenburg4-0RKAV Volendam
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RKAV Volendam 1417 · Spakenburg 1537
| RKAV Volendam | Draw | Spakenburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 23% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 20% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spakenburg (rating 1417 vs 1537).
- H2H favours Spakenburg: 3-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RKAV Volendam | Spakenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 2.9 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RKAV Volendam 1–0–3 Spakenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Spakenburg | 3-4 HT 1-0 | RKAV Volendam |
| 06/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | RKAV Volendam | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Spakenburg |
| 11/01/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | RKAV Volendam | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Spakenburg |
| 17/08/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Spakenburg | 4-0 HT 0-0 | RKAV Volendam |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC Hardenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | HSV Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | IJsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RKAV Volendam | Spakenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Rijnsburgse Boys | 0-7 L | 3-2 W |
| Barendrecht | 5-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Almere City Reserves | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Amsterdamsche FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Kozakken Boys | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| IJsselmeervogels | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| De Treffers | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Spakenburg (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RKAV Volendam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Volendam Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-3 | 0-7 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 11/04 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Spakenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spakenburg win (54%). Probabilities: RKAV Volendam 24%, draw 21%, Spakenburg 54%.
How many goals are expected in RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg?
The model expects 3.48 goals (RKAV Volendam 1.36 · Spakenburg 2.12), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.