Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 15/08, 15:00
Prediction: Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Barendrecht1.54
HHC Hardenberg2.11
1X2
Barendrecht
Draw
HHC Hardenberg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Barendrecht
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
HHC Hardenberg
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barendrecht
2–4
HHC Hardenberg
(6 last)
- Barendrecht4-1HHC Hardenberg
- HHC Hardenberg3-0Barendrecht
- HHC Hardenberg3-1Barendrecht
- Barendrecht2-1HHC Hardenberg
- HHC Hardenberg2-1Barendrecht
- Barendrecht0-4HHC Hardenberg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barendrecht 1446 · HHC Hardenberg 1508
| Barendrecht | Draw | HHC Hardenberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HHC Hardenberg (rating 1446 vs 1508).
- H2H favours HHC Hardenberg: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barendrecht | HHC Hardenberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barendrecht 2–0–4 HHC Hardenberg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 4-1 HT 1-0 | HHC Hardenberg |
| 23/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | HHC Hardenberg | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Barendrecht |
| 11/01/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | HHC Hardenberg | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Barendrecht |
| 17/08/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 2-1 HT 2-0 | HHC Hardenberg |
| 02/03/19 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | HHC Hardenberg | 2-1 | Barendrecht |
| 29/09/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 0-4 | HHC Hardenberg |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amsterdamsche FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barendrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | De Treffers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | GVVV Veenendaal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HHC Hardenberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Almere City Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kloetinge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Koninklijke HFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kozakken Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Quick Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RKAV Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ROHDA Raalte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spakenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Katwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barendrecht | HHC Hardenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| RKAV Volendam | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| HSV Hoek | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: HHC Hardenberg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barendrecht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | SV Poortugaal Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
HHC Hardenberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Genemuiden Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HHC Hardenberg win (50%). Probabilities: Barendrecht 27%, draw 23%, HHC Hardenberg 50%.
How many goals are expected in Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Barendrecht 1.54 · HHC Hardenberg 2.11), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.