Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 15/08, 15:15

Prediction: Amsterdamsche FC vs Kloetinge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Amsterdamsche FC1.94

Kloetinge1.55

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Amsterdamsche FC Draw Kloetinge

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Amsterdamsche FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWWDL

Kloetinge 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWWDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amsterdamsche FC 1484 · Kloetinge 1595

	Amsterdamsche FC	Draw	Kloetinge
Our model	46%	24%	30%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kloetinge (rating 1484 vs 1595).
High corners: 12 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amsterdamsche FC	Kloetinge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +2’	1.95	3.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amsterdamsche FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barendrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	De Treffers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GVVV Veenendaal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HHC Hardenberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSV Hoek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IJsselmeervogels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Almere City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kloetinge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Koninklijke HFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kozakken Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Quick Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rijnsburgse Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RKAV Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ROHDA Raalte	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spakenburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Katwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Amsterdamsche FC

DDLWLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-3	7	1	L
16/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
09/05	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	4	0	W
25/04	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	7	1	W
18/04	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-4	1-5	8	2	L
11/04	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
28/03	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
21/03	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	11	0	L
14/03	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-2	5	2	D
07/03	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	3	2	D

Kloetinge

WWDDWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	SteDoco Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
16/05	Noordwijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
09/05	Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-1	11	4	W
25/04	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	Scheveningen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
04/04	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
28/03	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-2	1	4	D
21/03	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/03	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amsterdamsche FC vs Kloetinge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Amsterdamsche FC win (46%). Probabilities: Amsterdamsche FC 46%, draw 24%, Kloetinge 30%.

How many goals are expected in Amsterdamsche FC vs Kloetinge?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Amsterdamsche FC 1.94 · Kloetinge 1.55), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Amsterdamsche FC vs Kloetinge?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.