Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 22/08, 14:00
Prediction: Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht
Team pages: Koninklijke HFC · Barendrecht
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Koninklijke HFC1.75
Barendrecht1.45
1X2
Koninklijke HFC
Draw
Barendrecht
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Koninklijke HFC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Barendrecht
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Koninklijke HFC
1–1–4
Barendrecht
(6 last)
- Koninklijke HFC1-2Barendrecht
- Barendrecht2-0Koninklijke HFC
- Koninklijke HFC0-0Barendrecht
- Barendrecht3-2Koninklijke HFC
- Koninklijke HFC3-1Barendrecht
- Barendrecht1-0Koninklijke HFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koninklijke HFC 1424 · Barendrecht 1438
| Koninklijke HFC | Draw | Barendrecht | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barendrecht: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Koninklijke HFC | Barendrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.5 | 3.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Koninklijke HFC 1–1–4 Barendrecht
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Barendrecht |
| 08/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Koninklijke HFC |
| 22/02/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barendrecht |
| 28/09/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Koninklijke HFC |
| 02/02/19 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Koninklijke HFC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Barendrecht |
| 01/09/18 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Koninklijke HFC |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC Hardenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | HSV Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | IJsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Koninklijke HFC | Barendrecht |
|---|---|---|
| HSV Hoek | 1-3 L | 4-2 W |
| Spakenburg | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Katwijk | 0-4 L | 2-3 L |
| De Treffers | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koninklijke HFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | ADO '20 Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
Barendrecht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | SV Poortugaal Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Koninklijke HFC win (44%). Probabilities: Koninklijke HFC 44%, draw 24%, Barendrecht 31%.
How many goals are expected in Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Koninklijke HFC 1.75 · Barendrecht 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.