Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogels

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Kozakken Boys2.18

IJsselmeervogels1.58

1X2

50% 23% 27%

Kozakken Boys Draw IJsselmeervogels

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kozakken Boys 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWDLD

IJsselmeervogels 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Kozakken Boys 3–3 IJsselmeervogels (6 last)

IJsselmeervogels0-2Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys4-3IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels2-1Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys1-4IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels4-0Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys2-1IJsselmeervogels

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kozakken Boys 1544 · IJsselmeervogels 1539

	Kozakken Boys	Draw	IJsselmeervogels
Our model	51%	22%	27%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kozakken Boys	IJsselmeervogels
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	3.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.8	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +13’	1.80	3.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kozakken Boys 3–0–3 IJsselmeervogels

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	0-2 HT 0-2	Kozakken Boys
16/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	4-3 HT 0-2	IJsselmeervogels
08/04/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	2-1 HT 0-0	Kozakken Boys
15/10/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-4 HT 1-2	IJsselmeervogels
23/04/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	IJsselmeervogels	4-0	Kozakken Boys
05/03/22 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	2-1 HT 1-0	IJsselmeervogels

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amsterdamsche FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barendrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	De Treffers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GVVV Veenendaal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HHC Hardenberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSV Hoek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IJsselmeervogels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Almere City Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kloetinge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Koninklijke HFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kozakken Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Quick Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rijnsburgse Boys	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RKAV Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ROHDA Raalte	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spakenburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Katwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kozakken Boys	IJsselmeervogels
Quick Boys	1-2 L	2-2 D
HHC Hardenberg	3-3 D	2-0 W
Excelsior Maassluis	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IJsselmeervogels (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kozakken Boys

WWLWDWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	RKC Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
23/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-3	12	5	D
09/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
25/04	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
18/04	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
11/04	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
28/03	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	1-4	7	1	L
21/03	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-3	4-3	2	4	W
14/03	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-2	14	3	W

IJsselmeervogels

WDLWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	EVV Echt Europe Friendlies	6-2	10-3	5	0	W
13/06	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	10	5	W
10/06	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
06/06	ADO '20 Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs	0-0	1-0	8	0	W
03/06	ADO '20 Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs	2-0	7-0	6	2	W
30/05	Sparta Nijkerk Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
27/05	Sparta Nijkerk Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
23/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-4	2	3	L
16/05	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-2	5	7	D
09/05	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogels?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kozakken Boys win (50%). Probabilities: Kozakken Boys 50%, draw 23%, IJsselmeervogels 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogels?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Kozakken Boys 2.18 · IJsselmeervogels 1.58), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogels?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.